Stock Analysis

Does Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:MRO
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE:MRO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Marathon Oil

How Much Debt Does Marathon Oil Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Marathon Oil had US$5.85b of debt, up from US$4.01b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$187.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$5.67b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MRO Debt to Equity History June 19th 2023

A Look At Marathon Oil's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Marathon Oil had liabilities of US$2.15b due within a year, and liabilities of US$6.48b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$187.0m in cash and US$1.22b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$7.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Marathon Oil is worth a massive US$14.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Marathon Oil has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Marathon Oil has boosted its EBIT by 84%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Marathon Oil's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, Marathon Oil actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, Marathon Oil's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Marathon Oil's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Marathon Oil (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.