Marathon Oil Corporation

NYSE:MRO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$16.2b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Marathon Oil Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Marathon Oil's earnings are forecast to decline at 5.8% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 2.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 4.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-5.8%

Earnings growth rate

-4.73%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth10.7%
Revenue growth rate2.4%
Future return on equity8.26%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 31

ConocoPhillips Knocks It Out Of The Park With Purchase Of Marathon Oil

Summary Marathon Oil Corporation shares closed up 8.4% after the announcement of its acquisition by ConocoPhillips in a $22.5 billion all-stock deal. The transaction values Marathon Oil appropriately compared to similar companies, but the energy space as a whole appears undervalued. ConocoPhillips will gain significant assets in Equatorial Guinea and expects to generate $500 million in annual synergies from the acquisition. The terms of the deal make ConocoPhillips a big winner, though investors may want to consider a stake in Marathon Oil as well. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 19

Marathon Oil Often Leads In Cost Progress

Summary Marathon Oil reduces per foot costs and increases initial flow rate, leading to lower well breakeven point and higher profitability. Management front loads capital budget, and has significant natural gas production. It is important to bring natural gas production online for the winter heating season. Despite the change in net income, adjusted cash flow from operating activities held up rather well for Marathon Oil. Marathon burnished the company's reputation as an operator with the announcement of cost-effective 3-mile wells. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 24

Marathon Oil: Strong Setup For 2024

Summary Marathon Oil shares have soared year-to-date due to high petroleum prices. The company is a concentrated resource play with major production in several U.S. shale basins where oil production grew 28% in FY 2023. Marathon Oil generates significant free cash flow and is set to aggressively buy back shares in FY 2024. Shares trade at a 15% earnings yield and are cheap. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 04

Marathon Oil: The Price Is Right

Summary Marathon Oil trades at a significant discount to Permian peers. This discount is attributed to relatively small Permian production versus the Eagle Ford and Bakken. A 1.8% dividend is hardly exciting, but Marathon Oil is dedicated to growing the dividend in line with share repurchases. Marathon Oil retired 9% of the total shares in 2023 while raising the dividend 22%. I recommend MRO as a buy below $26/share, leaving 25% upside to an equivalent multiple to its peer group. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 18

Marathon Oil: Opportunity To Buy An Energy Stock While Price Is Low And Demand Stabilizes

Summary Marathon Oil stock rated Buy, in line with the bullish sentiment on Seeking Alpha from analysts and Wall Street, and the quant system. Strong equity growth, production growth, and oil well geographic diversification. Expected upside in 2024 from possible supply cuts / geopolitical affairs, and heightened travel demand. Improvement to dividend income growth compared to slump years during pandemic. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 05

Marathon Oil: Free Cash Flow Machine And Portfolio Hedge

Summary The oil market offers a hedge against risks impacting stocks and bonds, with rising oil prices contributing to inflation and interest rate hikes. Correlations between stocks, bonds, and oil-producing stocks have shifted, with oil stocks benefiting from inflation, while stocks and bonds move together due to shared exposure to inflation. Marathon Oil is a good hedge investment as a US-based oil producer that stands to gain from a potential block to Iranian oil exports. Even without geopolitical pressures, Marathon's low valuation, compared to its strong free cash flow, makes it a much better investment than most stocks and bonds. Marathon Oil may have the best risk-reward potential amongst large US oil producers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 24

Marathon Oil: A Top-Tier Oil Play And Potential M&A Target

Summary U.S. shale production growth rates are declining due to various factors, including a focus on free cash flow and depletion of Tier One inventories. Devon Energy is rumored to be considering a major M&A deal, potentially acquiring Marathon Oil. Marathon Oil is a standout performer in the industry, with a commitment to maximizing sustainable free cash flow and shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 22

Accelerating Cash Flow Makes Marathon A Buy

Summary Marathon Oil's unique capital return policy and the recent rally in crude oil prices are expected to drive value for long-term shareholders. The company's focus on share buybacks, rather than supplemental dividends, has resulted in a decline in share count and per share accretion. Marathon Oil's stake in Equatorial Guinea's LNG export hub and its lean operations have further contributed to its resilience and potential for upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 03

Marathon Oil: Low Dividend Payout Is Not Helping The Long Narrative

Summary Marathon Oil Corporation reported a second-quarter 2023 adjusted net income per share of $0.48, beating analysts' expectations. Marathon Oil is an attractive E&P company with a significant U.S. E&P production, providing solid support for its long-term outlook. The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share in 2Q23. I recommend buying MRO between $25.5 and $26, with potential lower support at $25.1. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 19

Marathon Oil: Risk Factors In Gas Valuation And Limited Returns (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Marathon Oil Corporation is a $16.3 billion market cap gas and oil producer paying a 1.5% dividend. The company is most active in the Eagle Ford and the Bakken and has numerous competitors. It also has operations in Equatorial Guinea. The company's downside risk on gas valuation and its limited cash returns to shareholders make it less attractive to investors than many others in the sector. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MRO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20266,9911,3551,8893,8256
12/31/20256,6361,3251,7553,70810
12/31/20246,6761,2551,7503,8843
9/30/20246,5611,3302,0484,134N/A
6/30/20246,5911,4961,9143,991N/A
3/31/20246,4091,4341,9443,979N/A
12/31/20236,4531,5542,0544,087N/A
9/30/20236,4541,6822,0984,134N/A
6/30/20236,6952,0462,6074,624N/A
3/31/20237,3862,7253,4775,226N/A
12/31/20227,5753,6123,9485,428N/A
9/30/20227,7003,7364,0565,447N/A
6/30/20227,1253,1033,4574,707N/A
3/31/20226,2052,1532,5153,684N/A
12/31/20215,6169462,2073,239N/A
9/30/20214,709-411,4862,511N/A
6/30/20214,034-5421,1602,040N/A
3/31/20213,271-1,3084621,394N/A
12/31/20203,122-1,4511301,473N/A
9/30/20203,532-1,133491,755N/A
6/30/20204,023-651-872,147N/A
3/31/20204,9212603802,935N/A
12/31/20195,1254801992,749N/A
9/30/20195,2798902862,904N/A
6/30/20195,6819794153,130N/A
3/31/20195,7469143943,100N/A
12/31/20186,0521,0964813,234N/A
9/30/20186,0436781422,880N/A
6/30/20185,547-175N/A2,481N/A
3/31/20185,011-424N/A2,270N/A
12/31/20174,487-830N/A2,131N/A
9/30/20173,908-2,185N/A2,248N/A
6/30/20173,607-1,792N/A1,952N/A
3/31/20173,431-1,777N/A1,606N/A
12/31/20163,198-2,087N/A1,139N/A
9/30/20163,375-1,497N/A912N/A
6/30/20163,883-2,040N/A1,140N/A
3/31/20164,601-2,288N/A1,338N/A
12/31/20154,557-1,701N/A1,666N/A
9/30/20156,666-1,504N/A2,368N/A
6/30/20158,114-451N/A3,646N/A
3/31/20159,490295N/A4,326N/A
12/31/201410,684969N/A5,487N/A
9/30/201410,7221,198N/A5,561N/A
6/30/201410,8751,290N/A5,432N/A
3/31/201411,0001,171N/A5,212N/A
12/31/201311,187931N/A5,270N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MRO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.8% per year).

Earnings vs Market: MRO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MRO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MRO's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MRO's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MRO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.3%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/11/21 20:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/21 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Marathon Oil Corporation is covered by 28 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Yim ChengBarclays
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research