Stock Analysis

Equitrans Midstream (NYSE:ETRN) Seems To Be Using An Awful Lot Of Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital. So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Equitrans Midstream Corporation (NYSE:ETRN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Equitrans Midstream

What Is Equitrans Midstream's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2019 Equitrans Midstream had debt of US$6.33b, up from US$4.67b in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

NYSE:ETRN Historical Debt, March 22nd 2020
NYSE:ETRN Historical Debt, March 22nd 2020

How Healthy Is Equitrans Midstream's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Equitrans Midstream had liabilities of US$336.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$6.42b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$88.3m as well as receivables valued at US$260.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$6.41b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$1.52b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Equitrans Midstream would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Equitrans Midstream has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.2 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that Equitrans Midstream improved its EBIT by 8.2% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Equitrans Midstream's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Equitrans Midstream reported free cash flow worth 5.7% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Mulling over Equitrans Midstream's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Equitrans Midstream's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Equitrans Midstream (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About NYSE:ETRN

Equitrans Midstream

Owns, operates, acquires, and develops midstream assets in the Appalachian Basin.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

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