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Assessing Energy Transfer (ET) Valuation After Recent Share Price Underperformance
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
Energy Transfer (ET) has quietly lagged the broader market this year, and that underperformance has some income focused investors wondering whether the recent weakness is an opportunity or a warning sign.
See our latest analysis for Energy Transfer.
That sluggish year to date share price return, alongside a slightly weaker 90 day move, suggests momentum has faded, even though the three and five year total shareholder returns still look impressive for longer term holders.
If Energy Transfer’s recent wobble has you rethinking where you hunt for returns, this could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With shares now trading at a steep discount to analyst targets and recent earnings still growing, investors face a key question: Is Energy Transfer genuinely undervalued, or is the market already pricing in its future growth?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 22.9% Undervalued
With the most followed fair value estimate sitting well above Energy Transfer’s last close, the narrative frames the current pullback as a potential mispricing, not just noise.
Recent long-term, investment-grade customer commitments on multi-billion-dollar projects de-risk cash flows and improve visibility into earnings growth, while the buildout of vertically integrated infrastructure (like Lake Charles LNG tied to ET pipelines) enhances both margins and return on invested capital.
Want to see why this story leans so heavily on future earnings power, rising margins, and a richer profit multiple than the sector norm? The assumptions behind that gap between today’s unit price and the narrative fair value might surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $21.67 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, a prolonged slowdown in volume growth or costly delays on multi billion dollar projects could quickly challenge the case for upside re rating.
Find out about the key risks to this Energy Transfer narrative.
Build Your Own Energy Transfer Narrative
If the current story does not quite match your view, or you would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom narrative in just a few minutes, Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Energy Transfer research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
Looking for more investment ideas?
Before you move on, consider your next opportunity with targeted ideas from the Simply Wall St screener, so your watchlist keeps working hard for you.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Energy Transfer might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About NYSE:ET
Very undervalued average dividend payer.
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