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Chevron (NYSE:CVX) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Chevron's (NYSE:CVX) returns on capital, so let's have a look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Chevron is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.19 = US$43b ÷ (US$256b - US$34b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, Chevron has an ROCE of 19%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 23% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.
See our latest analysis for Chevron
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Chevron compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Chevron here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Chevron
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Oil and Gas industry.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Oil and Gas market.
- Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.
So How Is Chevron's ROCE Trending?
Chevron is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. More specifically, while the company has kept capital employed relatively flat over the last five years, the ROCE has climbed 674% in that same time. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. The company is doing well in that sense, and it's worth investigating what the management team has planned for long term growth prospects.
The Key Takeaway
To sum it up, Chevron is collecting higher returns from the same amount of capital, and that's impressive. Since the stock has returned a solid 55% to shareholders over the last five years, it's fair to say investors are beginning to recognize these changes. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Chevron can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.
Chevron does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Chevron that you might be interested in.
While Chevron isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CVX
Chevron
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally.
6 star dividend payer with excellent balance sheet.
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