Stock Analysis

CVR Energy (NYSE:CVI) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NYSE:CVI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for CVR Energy

What Is CVR Energy's Debt?

As you can see below, CVR Energy had US$1.64b of debt, at June 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$525.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.11b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:CVI Debt to Equity History September 27th 2021

How Healthy Is CVR Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CVR Energy had liabilities of US$1.11b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.02b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$525.0m and US$234.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.37b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$1.57b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, CVR Energy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CVR Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year CVR Energy wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.5%, to US$5.4b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months CVR Energy produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$295m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$209m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CVR Energy you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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