The Market Lifts Core Natural Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CNR) Shares 34% But It Can Do More
Core Natural Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CNR) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.6% over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Core Natural Resources' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Core Natural Resources
How Core Natural Resources Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Core Natural Resources as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Core Natural Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Core Natural Resources' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Core Natural Resources would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 47%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 83% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 33% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 4.6%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Core Natural Resources' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Core Natural Resources' P/S?
Core Natural Resources' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Looking at Core Natural Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Core Natural Resources (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Core Natural Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.