To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) we really liked what we saw.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Peabody Energy, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.34 = US$1.7b ÷ (US$5.8b - US$905m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Thus, Peabody Energy has an ROCE of 34%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 20% earned by companies in a similar industry.
See our latest analysis for Peabody Energy
In the above chart we have measured Peabody Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Peabody Energy.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
You'd find it hard not to be impressed with the ROCE trend at Peabody Energy. The data shows that returns on capital have increased by 213% over the trailing five years. That's a very favorable trend because this means that the company is earning more per dollar of capital that's being employed. Interestingly, the business may be becoming more efficient because it's applying 27% less capital than it was five years ago. A business that's shrinking its asset base like this isn't usually typical of a soon to be multi-bagger company.
Our Take On Peabody Energy's ROCE
From what we've seen above, Peabody Energy has managed to increase it's returns on capital all the while reducing it's capital base. Given the stock has declined 38% in the last five years, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
If you want to continue researching Peabody Energy, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
Peabody Energy is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BTU
Peabody Energy
Engages in coal mining business in the United States, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, India, Brazil, Belgium, Chile, France, Indonesia, China, Vietnam, South Korea, Germany, and internationally.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.