Black Stone Minerals, L.P.

NYSE:BSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Black Stone Minerals Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 6/6

Black Stone Minerals has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 9.3%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 8.4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 3.4% per year. Black Stone Minerals's return on equity is 27.7%, and it has net margins of 65.3%.

Key information

9.32%

Earnings growth rate

9.08%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas Industry Growth33.67%
Revenue growth rate-3.39%
Return on equity27.69%
Net Margin65.29%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 20

Black Stone Minerals: May See Modest Benefits From Improved Long-Term Oil Prices

Summary Black Stone is projected to generate $273 million in 2026 distributable cash flow at current strip. Hedges limit its ability to benefit from strong near-term oil prices. A $20 increase in the average 2026 oil price would only improve Black Stone's DCF by $3 million. Black Stone has close to 45% of its 2027 production hedged. I have increased my long-term (after 2026) oil price by $5 and that improves Black Stone's estimated value by $0.50 (to $16 per unit). Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 08

BSM: War Risk And Stable U.S. Activity Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts recently raised their price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14 from $13, citing elevated geopolitical risk to global energy supply and an outlook that U.S. operators are unlikely to significantly alter their activity in response. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Black Stone Minerals focuses heavily on how heightened geopolitical risk and potential supply disruptions feed into valuation, especially with the price target set at US$14.
Narrative Update Mar 25

BSM: War Risk And Steady U.S. Output Guide Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14.00 from $13.00, citing recent geopolitical risks to global energy supplies and steady expectations for U.S. operator activity as key factors behind the update. Analyst Commentary Analysts are weighing the new US$14 price target for Black Stone Minerals against rising geopolitical risks and expectations for relatively steady U.S. operator activity.
Narrative Update Mar 08

BSM: War Risk And Stable U.S. Activity Shape Measured Future Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14 from $13, reflecting updated views on fair value and earnings potential as they consider recent geopolitical risks and U.S. operator commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Black Stone Minerals focuses on how geopolitical risks and operator behavior could affect fair value, rather than on big changes to the company’s own execution.
Narrative Update Aug 16

Shelby Trough Expansion And Operator Diversification Will Drive Drilling

The consensus price target for Black Stone Minerals has been lowered to $13.00, primarily due to a notable decrease in forecast revenue growth, while valuation multiples have only moderately declined. What's in the News Black Stone Minerals lowered its 2025 production guidance to 33–35 MBoe/d from 38–41 MBoe/d due to weaker first-half production and delayed natural gas growth.
Seeking Alpha Apr 26

Black Stone Minerals: Focusing On Natural Gas Acquisitions

Summary Black Stone Minerals spent $110 million on acquisitions in 2024, funded primarily with cash on hand. It now has a slight amount of net debt and may add to that debt with continued acquisitions and the redemption of some Series A Preferred Units. I project its distribution coverage at 1.07x in 2025 at current strip. Black Stone's estimated value is now $17.75 per unit at long-term $70 WTI oil and $3.75 NYMEX natural gas. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 27

Black Stone Minerals: A 10% Distribution For This Natural Gas Royalty Play (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Upgrading Black Stone Minerals to a BUY due to improving natural gas prices, a robust hedging program, and a renegotiated production agreement with Aethon. BSM's 2024 challenges included weak natural gas prices and a dividend cut, but the company maintained a distribution coverage greater than 1x distributable cash flow throughout the year. For 2025, BSM expects a 2% production increase, with natural gas making up 77% of total volumes, driven by new wells and rising prices. LNG export growth and increased electricity demand from AI data centers position BSM's Haynesville acreage as a key resource, enhancing future prospects. I am upgrading BSM to a BUY. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 19

Black Stone Minerals' Double-Digit Yield Looks To Benefit From Expanding Electricity Demand

Summary Since its IPO in 2015, Black Stone Minerals performance has matched Exxon and Chevron on an annualized total return basis. Management's interest are closely aligned with unitholders and insider buying volume has been significant in 2025. Improving supply/demand balance for natural gas means more production volume, likely returning the distribution to high water level. More favorable federal energy policy towards fossil fuel minerals and growing electricity need bode well for BSM to benefit. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 12

Black Stone Minerals: Distribution Coverage Should Improve From Q3 2024 Levels

Summary Black Stone Minerals reported 1x distribution coverage for Q3 2024. It saw an 8% quarter-over-quarter production decline. BSM's Q4 2024 distribution coverage should increase slightly even if its production declines a bit further in the near term. I've reduced my 2025 production expectations by 3–4% to reflect a lower potential production level entering the year. Stronger natural gas prices in 2025 (particularly later in the year) should increase activity at Black Stone's assets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 08

Black Stone Minerals: Preferred Unit Redemption May Increase Distributable Cash Flow

Summary Black Stone Minerals has been acquiring Gulf Coast mineral and royalty interests. These acquisitions are primarily non-producing currently, but are expected to benefit future production results once natural gas prices improve. Black Stone also has the opportunity to redeem its Series B preferred units at par in late 2025. These units have a 9.8% distribution rate, so redeeming them should benefit Black Stone's distributable cash flow. Black Stone's credit facility interest rate may be 6% to 7% by late 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Sep 05

Hedging Missteps And Acquisition Risks To Hamper Earnings Amidst Volatile Times

Emphasis on grassroots acquisitions and asset enhancement may increase debt without immediate returns, affecting net income and cash flow if expectations are not met.
Seeking Alpha Aug 11

Black Stone Minerals: Well Covered 10.5% Yield And Debt Free Balance Sheet Make This A Buy

Summary BSM is a high free cash flow royalty-driven MLP with no debt, offering a 10.5% yield and potential upside with improved natural gas prices. The company's business model involves collecting royalty payments on revenue from producers operating on their acreage. BSM offers solid coverage of their distribution and potential for buybacks or acquisitions, making it a bargain investment opportunity. We peg a range of $12 to high teens on the stock, but are happy with a flat share price and a healthy tax-deferred distribution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 30

Black Stone Minerals: Overexposed To Natural Gas

Summary Production was down 2% in Q1 2024, after reducing their working interest exposure. Q1 2024 revenue at $113.2 million, net income at $63.9 million; down 17% and 57% QoQ. Distribution reduced by 21% to $0.375 per unit in Q1 2024. Aethon reduced production volumes by 800 Boe/d in April 2024. This will certainly impact their Q2 2024 production. Due to their natural gas exposure, overvaluation, and strategic uncertainties, my rating for this stock is a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 10

Black Stone Minerals: Reduced Production Guidance Due To Low Natural Gas Prices

Summary Black Stone Minerals reduced its 2024 production guidance by around 4%. The Company's oil cut may end up slightly higher than previously expected. BSM is projected to have 1.17x distribution coverage with its reduced distribution. It is spending on acquisitions that will benefit its longer-term cash flow. I expect Black Stone's distributable cash flow to rebound to $2+ per unit in 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 12

Black Stone Minerals: A Distribution Cut Is Coming

Summary Black Stone Minerals has seen a large decrease in rigs on its acreage. With Aethon taking a drilling pause, 2025 production is likely to decline. With favorable hedges rolling off, a distribution cut will be coming this year barring a natural gas price rally. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 06

Black Stone Minerals Remains A Great Energy Play

Summary Black Stone Minerals is a large owner and manager of oil and natural gas mineral interests in the US. The company's earnings are arguably more predictable than energy producers as they have a relatively small cost base and no leverage currently. BSM's valuation suggests it is attractively priced as a debt-free royalty play on US energy. A buyback of units may provide a catalyst for the units to re-rate if energy prices remain broadly stable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Black Stone Minerals makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:BSM Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26410268750
31 Dec 25401270740
30 Sep 25413245620
30 Jun 25414246630
31 Mar 25422194610
31 Dec 24427242550
30 Sep 24457345560
30 Jun 24491316570
31 Mar 24483328550
31 Dec 23489401540
30 Sep 23552437550
30 Jun 23636544520
31 Mar 23738597530
31 Dec 22771455540
30 Sep 22734406510
30 Jun 22651254500
31 Mar 22556138500
31 Dec 21491161500
30 Sep 2141257490
30 Jun 2134165460
31 Mar 2128641450
31 Dec 20288101430
30 Sep 20314110410
30 Jun 20360157460
31 Mar 20432260490
31 Dec 19463193640
30 Sep 19512317670
30 Jun 19548308750
31 Mar 19552242870
31 Dec 18559275840
30 Sep 18502132900
30 Jun 1844398880
31 Mar 18399128760
31 Dec 17361152750
30 Sep 17337127740
30 Jun 17332142700
31 Mar 1730166740
31 Dec 1626514740
30 Sep 16250-28770
30 Jun 16245-14810
31 Mar 16264-99820
31 Dec 15280-108800
30 Sep 15332-436730
30 Jun 15373-372680

Quality Earnings: BSM has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: BSM's current net profit margins (65.3%) are higher than last year (45.9%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: BSM's earnings have grown by 9.3% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: BSM's earnings growth over the past year (38.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (9.3% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: BSM earnings growth over the past year (38.1%) exceeded the Oil and Gas industry 6%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: BSM's Return on Equity (27.7%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 09:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Black Stone Minerals, L.P. is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy RezvanKeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.
Mark LearPiper Sandler Companies
John FreemanRaymond James & Associates