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Black Stone Minerals, L.P.NYSE:BSM Stock Report

Market Cap US$3.0b
Share Price
US$13.93
US$14
0.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y3.3%
7D2.8%
Portfolio Value
View

Black Stone Minerals, L.P.

NYSE:BSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

BSM Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 25 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Black Stone Minerals, L.P. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Black Stone Minerals
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$13.93
52 Week HighUS$15.49
52 Week LowUS$11.78
Beta0.051
1 Month Change1.16%
3 Month Change-7.75%
1 Year Change3.26%
3 Year Change-15.06%
5 Year Change43.31%
Change since IPO-23.63%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 20

Black Stone Minerals: May See Modest Benefits From Improved Long-Term Oil Prices

Summary Black Stone is projected to generate $273 million in 2026 distributable cash flow at current strip. Hedges limit its ability to benefit from strong near-term oil prices. A $20 increase in the average 2026 oil price would only improve Black Stone's DCF by $3 million. Black Stone has close to 45% of its 2027 production hedged. I have increased my long-term (after 2026) oil price by $5 and that improves Black Stone's estimated value by $0.50 (to $16 per unit). Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 08

BSM: War Risk And Stable U.S. Activity Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts recently raised their price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14 from $13, citing elevated geopolitical risk to global energy supply and an outlook that U.S. operators are unlikely to significantly alter their activity in response. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Black Stone Minerals focuses heavily on how heightened geopolitical risk and potential supply disruptions feed into valuation, especially with the price target set at US$14.
Narrative Update Mar 25

BSM: War Risk And Steady U.S. Output Guide Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14.00 from $13.00, citing recent geopolitical risks to global energy supplies and steady expectations for U.S. operator activity as key factors behind the update. Analyst Commentary Analysts are weighing the new US$14 price target for Black Stone Minerals against rising geopolitical risks and expectations for relatively steady U.S. operator activity.
Narrative Update Mar 08

BSM: War Risk And Stable U.S. Activity Shape Measured Future Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Black Stone Minerals to $14 from $13, reflecting updated views on fair value and earnings potential as they consider recent geopolitical risks and U.S. operator commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Black Stone Minerals focuses on how geopolitical risks and operator behavior could affect fair value, rather than on big changes to the company’s own execution.
Narrative Update Aug 16

Shelby Trough Expansion And Operator Diversification Will Drive Drilling

The consensus price target for Black Stone Minerals has been lowered to $13.00, primarily due to a notable decrease in forecast revenue growth, while valuation multiples have only moderately declined. What's in the News Black Stone Minerals lowered its 2025 production guidance to 33–35 MBoe/d from 38–41 MBoe/d due to weaker first-half production and delayed natural gas growth.
Seeking Alpha Apr 26

Black Stone Minerals: Focusing On Natural Gas Acquisitions

Summary Black Stone Minerals spent $110 million on acquisitions in 2024, funded primarily with cash on hand. It now has a slight amount of net debt and may add to that debt with continued acquisitions and the redemption of some Series A Preferred Units. I project its distribution coverage at 1.07x in 2025 at current strip. Black Stone's estimated value is now $17.75 per unit at long-term $70 WTI oil and $3.75 NYMEX natural gas. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 27

Black Stone Minerals: A 10% Distribution For This Natural Gas Royalty Play (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Upgrading Black Stone Minerals to a BUY due to improving natural gas prices, a robust hedging program, and a renegotiated production agreement with Aethon. BSM's 2024 challenges included weak natural gas prices and a dividend cut, but the company maintained a distribution coverage greater than 1x distributable cash flow throughout the year. For 2025, BSM expects a 2% production increase, with natural gas making up 77% of total volumes, driven by new wells and rising prices. LNG export growth and increased electricity demand from AI data centers position BSM's Haynesville acreage as a key resource, enhancing future prospects. I am upgrading BSM to a BUY. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 19

Black Stone Minerals' Double-Digit Yield Looks To Benefit From Expanding Electricity Demand

Summary Since its IPO in 2015, Black Stone Minerals performance has matched Exxon and Chevron on an annualized total return basis. Management's interest are closely aligned with unitholders and insider buying volume has been significant in 2025. Improving supply/demand balance for natural gas means more production volume, likely returning the distribution to high water level. More favorable federal energy policy towards fossil fuel minerals and growing electricity need bode well for BSM to benefit. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 12

Black Stone Minerals: Distribution Coverage Should Improve From Q3 2024 Levels

Summary Black Stone Minerals reported 1x distribution coverage for Q3 2024. It saw an 8% quarter-over-quarter production decline. BSM's Q4 2024 distribution coverage should increase slightly even if its production declines a bit further in the near term. I've reduced my 2025 production expectations by 3–4% to reflect a lower potential production level entering the year. Stronger natural gas prices in 2025 (particularly later in the year) should increase activity at Black Stone's assets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 08

Black Stone Minerals: Preferred Unit Redemption May Increase Distributable Cash Flow

Summary Black Stone Minerals has been acquiring Gulf Coast mineral and royalty interests. These acquisitions are primarily non-producing currently, but are expected to benefit future production results once natural gas prices improve. Black Stone also has the opportunity to redeem its Series B preferred units at par in late 2025. These units have a 9.8% distribution rate, so redeeming them should benefit Black Stone's distributable cash flow. Black Stone's credit facility interest rate may be 6% to 7% by late 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative Sep 05

Hedging Missteps And Acquisition Risks To Hamper Earnings Amidst Volatile Times

Emphasis on grassroots acquisitions and asset enhancement may increase debt without immediate returns, affecting net income and cash flow if expectations are not met.
Seeking Alpha Aug 11

Black Stone Minerals: Well Covered 10.5% Yield And Debt Free Balance Sheet Make This A Buy

Summary BSM is a high free cash flow royalty-driven MLP with no debt, offering a 10.5% yield and potential upside with improved natural gas prices. The company's business model involves collecting royalty payments on revenue from producers operating on their acreage. BSM offers solid coverage of their distribution and potential for buybacks or acquisitions, making it a bargain investment opportunity. We peg a range of $12 to high teens on the stock, but are happy with a flat share price and a healthy tax-deferred distribution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 30

Black Stone Minerals: Overexposed To Natural Gas

Summary Production was down 2% in Q1 2024, after reducing their working interest exposure. Q1 2024 revenue at $113.2 million, net income at $63.9 million; down 17% and 57% QoQ. Distribution reduced by 21% to $0.375 per unit in Q1 2024. Aethon reduced production volumes by 800 Boe/d in April 2024. This will certainly impact their Q2 2024 production. Due to their natural gas exposure, overvaluation, and strategic uncertainties, my rating for this stock is a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 10

Black Stone Minerals: Reduced Production Guidance Due To Low Natural Gas Prices

Summary Black Stone Minerals reduced its 2024 production guidance by around 4%. The Company's oil cut may end up slightly higher than previously expected. BSM is projected to have 1.17x distribution coverage with its reduced distribution. It is spending on acquisitions that will benefit its longer-term cash flow. I expect Black Stone's distributable cash flow to rebound to $2+ per unit in 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 12

Black Stone Minerals: A Distribution Cut Is Coming

Summary Black Stone Minerals has seen a large decrease in rigs on its acreage. With Aethon taking a drilling pause, 2025 production is likely to decline. With favorable hedges rolling off, a distribution cut will be coming this year barring a natural gas price rally. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 06

Black Stone Minerals Remains A Great Energy Play

Summary Black Stone Minerals is a large owner and manager of oil and natural gas mineral interests in the US. The company's earnings are arguably more predictable than energy producers as they have a relatively small cost base and no leverage currently. BSM's valuation suggests it is attractively priced as a debt-free royalty play on US energy. A buyback of units may provide a catalyst for the units to re-rate if energy prices remain broadly stable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

BSMUS Oil and GasUS Market
7D2.8%3.1%-0.3%
1Y3.3%38.2%26.7%

Return vs Industry: BSM underperformed the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 39.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: BSM underperformed the US Market which returned 23.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is BSM's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BSM volatility
BSM Average Weekly Movement3.0%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement6.1%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: BSM has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: BSM's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1876n/aH. DeWalchwww.blackstoneminerals.com

Black Stone Minerals, L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages oil and natural gas mineral interests. It owns mineral interests in approximately 16.9 million gross acres, nonparticipating royalty interests in 1.8 million gross acres, and overriding royalty interests in 1.6 million gross acres located in 41 states in the United States. The company was founded in 1876 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Black Stone Minerals, L.P. Fundamentals Summary

How do Black Stone Minerals's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
BSM fundamental statistics
Market capUS$3.01b
Earnings (TTM)US$267.79m
Revenue (TTM)US$410.17m
11.1x
P/E Ratio
7.2x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
BSM income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$410.17m
Cost of RevenueUS$47.91m
Gross ProfitUS$362.26m
Other ExpensesUS$94.47m
EarningsUS$267.79m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.26
Gross Margin88.32%
Net Profit Margin65.29%
Debt/Equity Ratio17.4%

How did BSM perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

8.6%
Current Dividend Yield
95%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 13:39
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Black Stone Minerals, L.P. is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy RezvanKeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.
Mark LearPiper Sandler Companies
John FreemanRaymond James & Associates