Antero Resources Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Antero Resources is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.5% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.3% in 3 years.
Key information
8.5%
Earnings growth rate
10.06%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas earnings growth | 5.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.6% |
| Future return on equity | 12.31% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 04 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Antero Resources: Another Storm Fern Beneficiary
Apr 30
AR: Pipeline Access And 2026 Production Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Antero Resources to $56.00 from $55.00 in response to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while keeping the discount rate unchanged. What's in the News Equitrans, L.P. filed a revised tariff record reflecting negotiated rate agreements with Antero Resources Corporation, and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission accepted the tariff record effective April 1, 2026, with waiver of the standard 30 day notice requirement and no protests filed (Regulatory filing).
AR: Pipeline Positions And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target for Antero Resources from about $45.82 to $48.24, citing slightly revised assumptions that include a different revenue growth path, a modestly higher expected profit margin, and an updated forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Antero filed a motion to intervene at FERC in a Tennessee Gas Pipeline tariff proceeding that involves new and amended transportation and parking and lending agreements, citing its interest as a long term firm service customer on that system.AR: Production Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Measured Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target for Antero Resources by about $3.68, supported by updated assumptions that include higher modeled revenue growth of 13.08%, an 18.76% profit margin, and a lower future P/E of 12.15x relative to prior estimates. What's in the News Antero Resources reported fourth quarter 2025 combined natural gas equivalent average net production of 3,511 MMcfe/d.AR: Rising 2026 Production And Buybacks Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts are maintaining their $55.00 price target on Antero Resources, citing relatively steady assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as the basis for their view. What's in the News Antero reported fourth quarter 2025 production results, with combined natural gas equivalent average net production of 3,511 MMcfe/d for the period (company announcement of operating results).AR: Higher Margins And 2026 Production Outlook Will Support Bullish View
Analysts have increased their price target for Antero Resources to $55.00. This change reflects updated assumptions around slower revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower projected future P/E multiple.
AR: Lower Revenue Outlook And Compressed P/E Will Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their price target for Antero Resources from about US$32.51 to around US$29.90, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that have informed their latest fair value analysis. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: reduced from about US$32.51 to around US$29.90, representing a modest downward reset in the implied share value.AR: Share Repurchases Will Support Bullish Outlook Despite Margin Reset
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Antero Resources from US$58.00 to US$55.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E outlook. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Antero Resources repurchased 1,501,387 shares for US$51.36 million, equal to 0.48% of its shares under an existing buyback plan (Key Developments).AR: Share Repurchases And Lower Margins Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target for Antero Resources to US$32.51 from US$32.46, citing updated assumptions that combine a higher modeled revenue growth rate with a lower profit margin outlook and a P/E multiple of 16.76x versus the prior 9.44x. What's in the News Antero Resources repurchased 1,501,387 shares between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, for a total of US$51.36 million under its existing buyback program (Key Developments).AR: Share Buybacks And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Antero Resources from approximately 29 dollars to 32 dollars and 50 cents. This reflects increased confidence in the company’s faster expected revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower assumed future valuation multiple.AR: Share Repurchases Will Drive Stronger Future Returns
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target Analysts have nudged their price target on Antero Resources slightly higher, to approximately 42.14 dollars from about 42.10 dollars, citing modestly stronger projected revenue growth that more than offsets minor adjustments to profit margin and discount rate assumptions. What's in the News Completed a major share repurchase program, buying back a total of 31.75 million shares, or about 10.31 percent of shares outstanding, under the authorization announced on February 16, 2022 (company disclosure).AR: Share Buybacks Will Drive Improved Returns Ahead
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Antero Resources from $42.00 to approximately $42.10. They cite minor adjustments to profit margin forecasts and discount rates in their updated models.AR: Share Repurchase Of 10% And New CEO Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lowered their price target for Antero Resources from $42.62 to $42.00, citing moderated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, along with a reduced discount rate in their updated valuation models. What's in the News Antero Resources completed the repurchase of 31,749,955 shares, representing 10.31% of shares outstanding, for $1,083.99 million under its ongoing buyback program as of September 30, 2025 (Company Filing).Analysts Trim Antero Resources Price Target as Profit Outlook Improves Amid Leadership Changes
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Antero Resources from $43.14 to $42.62. They cite expectations of slower revenue growth, which are partially offset by an improved profit margin outlook.We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Antero Resources (NYSE:AR)
Sep 26
New Gulf Coast LNG Facilities Will Expand Global Energy Reach
The marginal downward revision in Antero Resources’ price target reflects slightly lower revenue growth expectations and a modest decrease in future P/E, resulting in a new consensus fair value of $43.14. What's in the News Michael N.New Gulf Coast LNG Facilities Will Expand Global Energy Reach
With no changes in the consensus revenue growth forecast of 7.9% or the discount rate of 7.29%, analysts have left Antero Resources' fair value estimate unchanged at $43.62. What's in the News Antero Resources amended and restated its bylaws, clarifying executive roles and removing the Chairman of the Board from the list of required officers.Antero Resources Corporation's (NYSE:AR) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Jul 22We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Antero Resources (NYSE:AR)
Jun 17Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Antero Resources Corporation's (NYSE:AR) P/S
May 27Antero Resources: Projected FCF Generation Remains Strong For 2025 (Rating Upgrade)
Apr 07Antero Resources: Cycling Natural Gas Prices Create Buying Opportunities
Mar 18Antero Resources: First Quarter Should Be Better Still
Feb 13Antero Resources: 2025 Free Cash Flow May Reach $1.3 Billion
Jan 23Antero Resources: Thank Goodness For Premium Prices And Declining Costs
Dec 30Antero Resources Set For Growth
Dec 16AR You Ready? Why I'm Super Bullish On Antero Resources
Nov 20Antero Resources: Propane Export Premiums Offset Impact Of Weak Natural Gas Prices
Nov 01Antero Resources: Time To Begin Following For A Long Position
Sep 16Antero Resources: Expecting Improvements To Realized Natural Gas Prices
Sep 06
Innovative Drilling And Market Dynamics Positioning For Revenue And Margin Growth
Accelerating drilling and completion efficiencies, alongside operational improvements, result in higher well productivity and cost reductions, enhancing revenue growth and margins.Why I'm So Very Bullish On Antero Resources
Aug 17Antero Resources: Natural Gas Surplus On The Wane
Aug 01Antero Resources Is A Strong U.S. Natural Gas Play
Jul 15Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,342 | 1,536 | 1,703 | 3,029 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,905 | 1,422 | 1,892 | 2,804 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,811 | 1,475 | 1,463 | 2,650 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,732 | 962 | 951 | 2,032 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,140 | 634 | 558 | 1,631 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,008 | 590 | 551 | 1,538 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,870 | 479 | 678 | 1,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,610 | 242 | 345 | 1,045 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,298 | 57 | 133 | 849 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,272 | -42 | 75 | 883 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,357 | 11 | -9 | 901 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,317 | 8 | -91 | 912 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,485 | 198 | -137 | 995 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,211 | 878 | 23 | 1,158 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 6,682 | 1,420 | 958 | 2,062 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,202 | 2,269 | 1,750 | 2,830 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 8,717 | 1,872 | 2,107 | 3,051 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 8,892 | 2,070 | 2,125 | 3,051 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,079 | 961 | 1,389 | 2,276 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 6,929 | -328 | 853 | 1,662 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 6,511 | -187 | 944 | 1,660 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,554 | -1,018 | 769 | 1,428 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,672 | -1,005 | 686 | 1,291 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,017 | -945 | 413 | 1,099 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,397 | -1,268 | -139 | 736 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,255 | -1,820 | -402 | 640 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,263 | -2,163 | -520 | 663 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,581 | -1,658 | -497 | 765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,945 | -340 | N/A | 1,103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,252 | 21 | N/A | 1,777 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,374 | 745 | N/A | 2,000 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,336 | 566 | N/A | 2,079 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,133 | -398 | N/A | 2,082 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,708 | 211 | N/A | 1,574 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,403 | 230 | N/A | 2,198 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,173 | 362 | N/A | 2,154 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,019 | 615 | N/A | 2,006 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,874 | -358 | N/A | 2,028 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,746 | 16 | N/A | 1,310 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,477 | -575 | N/A | 1,295 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,161 | -849 | N/A | 1,241 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,823 | -205 | N/A | 1,080 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,601 | 91 | N/A | 999 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,544 | 542 | N/A | 1,005 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,573 | 941 | N/A | 1,016 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,720 | 1,390 | N/A | 1,041 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,809 | 1,060 | N/A | 1,095 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AR's forecast earnings growth (8.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).
Earnings vs Market: AR's earnings (8.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: AR's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AR's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.3%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/04 01:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Antero Resources Corporation is covered by 45 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Joseph Allman | Baird |
| Jeffrey Robertson | Barclays |
| Wei Jiang | Barclays |