Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Profire Energy, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PFIE) Share Price Following 27% Dive

NasdaqCM:PFIE
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Profire Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:PFIE) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.4% over the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Profire Energy may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.8x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Profire Energy has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Profire Energy

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PFIE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Profire Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Profire Energy would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 62% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 5.4% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.9% per annum.

With this information, we are not surprised that Profire Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Profire Energy have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Profire Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Profire Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.