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Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over StealthGas Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GASS) P/S Ratio
It's not a stretch to say that StealthGas Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GASS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for StealthGas
What Does StealthGas' Recent Performance Look Like?
StealthGas certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. Those who are bullish on StealthGas will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on StealthGas.How Is StealthGas' Revenue Growth Trending?
StealthGas' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.1% last year. Revenue has also lifted 6.5% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 10% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 1.7%, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that StealthGas' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It appears that StealthGas currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with StealthGas, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:GASS
StealthGas
Provides seaborne transportation services to liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) producers and users worldwide.
Undervalued with solid track record.