Chord Energy Corporation

NasdaqGS:CHRD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.8b

Chord Energy Valuation

Is CHRD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHRD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHRD ($129.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($334.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHRD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHRD?

Key metric: As CHRD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHRD. This is calculated by dividing CHRD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHRD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.5x
EarningsUS$935.98m
Market CapUS$7.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHRD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHRD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
MTDR Matador Resources
8x8.5%US$7.2b
VNOM Viper Energy
27x-7.3%US$10.0b
CIVI Civitas Resources
5x-3.5%US$4.9b
DEN Denbury
9.5x-18.5%US$4.6b
CHRD Chord Energy
8.5x4.3%US$7.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHRD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (-87.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHRD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CHRD 8.5xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHRD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHRD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHRD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.5x
Fair PE Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CHRD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHRD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$129.84
US$184.10
+41.8%
12.8%US$231.40US$152.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$123.80
US$185.89
+50.2%
12.5%US$231.40US$141.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$130.59
US$189.46
+45.1%
9.9%US$217.00US$141.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$148.43
US$204.33
+37.7%
9.9%US$252.00US$175.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$166.59
US$209.25
+25.6%
9.9%US$252.00US$175.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$169.66
US$213.00
+25.5%
9.7%US$262.00US$186.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$185.41
US$216.13
+16.6%
10.6%US$262.00US$186.00n/a8
May ’25US$174.17
US$211.79
+21.6%
10.1%US$262.00US$183.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$177.79
US$195.50
+10.0%
11.0%US$229.00US$167.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$164.23
US$192.50
+17.2%
12.3%US$229.00US$160.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$153.42
US$184.25
+20.1%
9.5%US$224.00US$160.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$166.23
US$189.58
+14.0%
8.2%US$225.00US$167.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$161.95
US$191.42
+18.2%
8.0%US$225.00US$167.00n/a12
Nov ’24US$165.35
US$188.64
+14.1%
8.0%US$225.00US$167.00US$123.8011
Oct ’24US$162.07
US$185.55
+14.5%
9.2%US$221.00US$150.00US$130.5911
Sep ’24US$165.74
US$181.91
+9.8%
10.0%US$221.00US$150.00US$148.4311
Aug ’24US$157.43
US$178.60
+13.4%
10.9%US$221.00US$150.00US$166.5910
Jul ’24US$153.80
US$179.80
+16.9%
14.5%US$247.00US$150.00US$169.6610
Jun ’24US$143.37
US$179.50
+25.2%
14.7%US$247.00US$150.00US$185.4110
May ’24US$142.07
US$183.00
+28.8%
15.6%US$252.00US$150.00US$174.1710
Apr ’24US$134.60
US$178.67
+32.7%
9.2%US$210.00US$150.00US$177.799
Mar ’24US$137.30
US$185.44
+35.1%
9.8%US$219.00US$150.00US$164.239
Feb ’24US$141.60
US$184.11
+30.0%
9.9%US$219.00US$150.00US$153.429
Jan ’24US$136.81
US$184.00
+34.5%
10.6%US$218.00US$150.00US$166.237
Dec ’23US$147.19
US$189.14
+28.5%
11.5%US$218.00US$150.00US$161.957
Nov ’23US$154.82
US$179.14
+15.7%
15.0%US$220.00US$150.00US$165.357

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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