Stock Analysis

Block, Inc. (NYSE:SQ) Soars 25% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

NYSE:SQ
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Block, Inc. (NYSE:SQ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 8.2% isn't as impressive.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Block's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Diversified Financial industry is similar at about 2.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Block

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

How Has Block Performed Recently?

Block certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Block's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Block's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 131% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.5% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Block's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Block's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Block's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at Block's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Block that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Block, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Block is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.