Stock Analysis

What Raymond James Financial (RJF)'s Record Client Asset Levels and Insider Selling Activity Mean For Shareholders

  • Raymond James Financial recently reported that client assets under administration rose 10% year over year to a record US$1.77 trillion, driven by strong advisor recruiting and supportive equity markets, while investment banking revenues dipped early in the quarter due to deal timing.
  • At the same time, analysts at TD Cowen and Bank of America Securities reiterated Hold ratings and insider share sales picked up, even as Raymond James continued furnishing detailed monthly operating data that gives investors additional insight without imposing Section 18 filing liability.
  • We’ll now examine how this record level of client assets under administration shapes Raymond James Financial’s existing investment narrative and future prospects.

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Raymond James Financial Investment Narrative Recap

To own Raymond James Financial, you generally need to believe in its ability to keep attracting and retaining advisors, converting client relationships into fee and spread income. The record US$1.77 trillion in client assets under administration supports that view and appears to reinforce, rather than change, the near term catalyst around asset growth, while investment banking revenue softness from deal timing and increased insider selling remain key short term watchpoints rather than clear thesis breakers.

The most relevant development here is Raymond James’ decision to keep publishing detailed monthly operating data as “furnished” information, which gives you more timely visibility into client asset flows and segment trends without adding Section 18 filing exposure. That transparency helps you track whether supportive markets and recruiting are offsetting the risk that macro uncertainty and tariff related volatility could slow investment banking closings and pressure fee income.

Yet behind the record client asset figure, investors should be aware that concentrated reliance on favorable markets leaves Raymond James more exposed if...

Read the full narrative on Raymond James Financial (it's free!)

Raymond James Financial's narrative projects $17.3 billion revenue and $2.7 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.6 billion earnings increase from $2.1 billion today.

Uncover how Raymond James Financial's forecasts yield a $183.27 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

RJF 1-Year Stock Price Chart
RJF 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for Raymond James Financial anywhere between US$70.20 and US$223.15, with estimates spread across that entire range. When you set those views against the company’s dependence on healthy advisory flows and investment banking activity, it underlines how differently people weigh the same risks and catalysts and why it can be useful to compare several viewpoints side by side.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Raymond James Financial - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Build Your Own Raymond James Financial Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:RJF

Raymond James Financial

A diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in the United States, Canada, and Europe.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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