Stock Analysis

Rithm Capital (RITM): Valuation Update Following $750 Million Equity Offering and Dividend Growth Momentum

Rithm Capital (RITM) recently announced a $750 million follow-on equity offering, catching the attention of income-oriented investors who track both its sizable deals and stable dividend payments.

See our latest analysis for Rithm Capital.

The $750 million equity offering comes amid Rithm Capital’s ongoing push to expand its asset base, following recent acquisitions like Sculptor Capital and the pending Computershare Mortgage Services deal. Despite short-term share price softness, Rithm delivered a solid 13% total shareholder return over the past year. This highlights the longer-term momentum building behind the stock as management continues to diversify its revenue streams and deliver consistent dividends.

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With Rithm Capital shares trading well below analysts’ targets, and recent earnings pointing to both strong revenue growth and profit expansion, investors are left asking: Is this the window to buy before the market prices in future growth?

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Most Popular Narrative: 22.4% Undervalued

With Rithm Capital’s fair value sitting well above its last close price, the popular narrative points to serious upside if growth materializes. Investors are watching management’s strategic bets and capital allocation play out in real time, setting the stage for bold future potential.

Prudently managed capital allocation and balance sheet flexibility allow Rithm to pivot investment across origination, asset management, and opportunistic acquisitions in response to shifts in the mortgage and credit cycle. This underpins resilient earnings and book value growth through evolving market conditions.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know which high-conviction estimates and profit forecasts back this price target? The narrative’s bold future projections may catch you off guard. The building blocks of this calculation will surprise even the most seasoned investors. Click through to see how the numbers stack up and which major financial assumptions drove this eye-catching valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $14.40 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent margin pressure from fierce competition or setbacks integrating new business lines could limit Rithm's ambitious diversification plans and affect its future growth trajectory.

Find out about the key risks to this Rithm Capital narrative.

Build Your Own Rithm Capital Narrative

If you’re not convinced by the current story or like to dig into the numbers on your own, you can shape your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Rithm Capital research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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