Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE:JEF) Is An Interesting Stock

NYSE:JEF
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For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it completely lacks a track record of revenue and profit. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE:JEF). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

View our latest analysis for Jefferies Financial Group

How Fast Is Jefferies Financial Group Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In business, though not in life, profits are a key measure of success; and share prices tend to reflect earnings per share (EPS). So like the hint of a smile on a face that I love, growing EPS generally makes me look twice. You can imagine, then, that it almost knocked my socks off when I realized that Jefferies Financial Group grew its EPS from US$2.22 to US$6.70, in one short year. Even though that growth rate is unlikely to be repeated, that looks like a breakout improvement. Could this be a sign that the business has reached an inflection point?

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. I note that Jefferies Financial Group's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. Jefferies Financial Group shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 15% to 25%, and revenue is growing. That's great to see, on both counts.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:JEF Earnings and Revenue History October 4th 2021

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Jefferies Financial Group's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Jefferies Financial Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Since Jefferies Financial Group has a market capitalization of US$9.3b, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Indeed, they have a glittering mountain of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$1.8b. That equates to 20% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. Very encouraging.

Does Jefferies Financial Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Jefferies Financial Group's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. That EPS growth certainly has my attention, and the large insider ownership only serves to further stoke my interest. At times fast EPS growth is a sign the business has reached an inflection point; and I do like those. So yes, on this short analysis I do think it's worth considering Jefferies Financial Group for a spot on your watchlist. However, before you get too excited we've discovered 3 warning signs for Jefferies Financial Group (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

You can invest in any company you want. But if you prefer to focus on stocks that have demonstrated insider buying, here is a list of companies with insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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