Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Cannae Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CNNE) Price

NYSE:CNNE
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There wouldn't be many who think Cannae Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:CNNE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Diversified Financial industry in the United States is similar at about 2.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Cannae Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CNNE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Cannae Holdings Performed Recently?

Cannae Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cannae Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cannae Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cannae Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.7% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 5.1% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Cannae Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Cannae Holdings' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Cannae Holdings with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of Cannae Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cannae Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.