Ally Financial Valuation

Is ALLY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALLY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALLY ($36.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALLY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALLY?

Key metric: As ALLY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALLY. This is calculated by dividing ALLY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALLY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.2x
EarningsUS$775.00m
Market CapUS$11.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALLY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALLY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
OMF OneMain Holdings
12.1x31.2%US$6.6b
SLM SLM
8x-1.1%US$5.2b
SYF Synchrony Financial
8.2x-8.4%US$25.3b
NNI Nelnet
34.6xn/aUS$4.0b
ALLY Ally Financial
14.2x28.4%US$11.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALLY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALLY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YRD Yiren Digital
1.8xn/aUS$507.70m
XYF X Financial
1.7xn/aUS$302.56m
No more companies available in this PE range
ALLY 14.2xIndustry Avg. 12.3xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALLY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALLY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALLY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.2x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALLY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALLY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$36.22
US$40.56
+12.0%
12.4%US$55.00US$32.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$34.57
US$40.23
+16.4%
10.7%US$50.00US$32.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$34.71
US$41.56
+19.7%
11.5%US$50.00US$32.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$43.19
US$46.90
+8.6%
8.9%US$53.00US$37.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$42.55
US$47.01
+10.5%
9.1%US$53.00US$37.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$39.26
US$43.85
+11.7%
12.7%US$53.00US$33.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$38.97
US$43.22
+10.9%
13.2%US$54.00US$33.00n/a18
May ’25US$38.56
US$43.05
+11.6%
13.2%US$54.00US$33.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$39.59
US$41.22
+4.1%
16.0%US$53.00US$28.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$37.33
US$40.10
+7.4%
14.5%US$51.00US$28.00n/a20
Feb ’25US$37.09
US$39.80
+7.3%
14.0%US$51.00US$28.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$34.92
US$32.92
-5.7%
15.7%US$41.00US$25.32n/a20
Dec ’24US$30.86
US$30.91
+0.2%
18.4%US$40.00US$22.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$24.30
US$30.39
+25.1%
18.6%US$40.00US$20.50US$34.5719
Oct ’24US$26.68
US$32.67
+22.4%
17.0%US$45.00US$22.00US$34.7118
Sep ’24US$28.94
US$32.61
+12.7%
17.1%US$45.00US$22.00US$43.1918
Aug ’24US$30.42
US$32.74
+7.6%
16.2%US$45.00US$24.00US$42.5519
Jul ’24US$27.01
US$31.68
+17.3%
20.7%US$47.00US$22.00US$39.2619
Jun ’24US$27.12
US$32.11
+18.4%
19.9%US$47.00US$22.00US$38.9718
May ’24US$26.03
US$32.11
+23.4%
19.9%US$47.00US$22.00US$38.5618
Apr ’24US$25.49
US$34.06
+33.6%
22.2%US$51.00US$22.00US$39.5918
Mar ’24US$30.07
US$35.33
+17.5%
20.4%US$51.00US$24.00US$37.3318
Feb ’24US$33.84
US$34.78
+2.8%
20.8%US$51.00US$22.00US$37.0918
Jan ’24US$24.45
US$32.40
+32.5%
22.0%US$46.00US$19.00US$34.9218
Dec ’23US$25.92
US$32.45
+25.2%
21.7%US$46.00US$19.00US$30.8618
Nov ’23US$27.67
US$33.17
+19.9%
19.1%US$46.00US$23.00US$24.3018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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