Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding LendingTree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TREE) Performance Completely

NasdaqGS:TREE
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x LendingTree, Inc. (NASDAQ:TREE) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Consumer Finance companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for LendingTree

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TREE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 8th 2024

What Does LendingTree's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for LendingTree as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think LendingTree's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is LendingTree's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as LendingTree's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.4% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 27% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 14% each year, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that LendingTree's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for LendingTree remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for LendingTree that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.