TPG (TPG) Valuation Check After $2 Billion AI Data Center JV and Siemens Gamesa Onshore Wind Acquisition

TPG (TPG) has been in the spotlight after unveiling a $2 billion AI data center joint venture in India and closing the Siemens Gamesa onshore wind acquisition, moves that sharpen its AI and renewables footprint.

See our latest analysis for TPG.

The market seems to be warming to that story, with a 1 month share price return of 10.67 percent helping to reverse some of this year’s negative trend. However, the 1 year total shareholder return is still down and the 3 year total shareholder return remains strongly positive, which suggests momentum is rebuilding as investors price in AI and renewables growth.

If this kind of AI and infrastructure angle appeals to you, it could be a moment to explore high growth tech and AI stocks as you look for other potential opportunities.

Yet with the share price already rebounding and sitting only a modest discount to analyst targets, investors now face a tougher question: is TPG still undervalued, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of AI led growth?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 8.1% Undervalued

With TPG last closing at $60.66 against a narrative fair value of $66, the valuation case leans positive and hinges on aggressive profitability shifts.

Thematic investment focus in high-growth areas (sustainability, digital infrastructure, healthcare, AI) is enabling TPG to capitalize on long-term, secular shifts toward these sectors, driving outperformance in investment returns and supporting growth in carried interest and incentive income, positively impacting earnings.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see the math behind this call? TPG is modeled to flip from razor thin margins to elite profitability, while earnings and valuation multiples completely reshape the story.

Result: Fair Value of $66 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, constrained fundraising and tougher exits in volatile markets could limit fee growth, pressuring margins and undermining the upbeat AI and infrastructure narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this TPG narrative.

Build Your Own TPG Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a complete view in minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your TPG research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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