Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) Stock Yet As It Plummets 44%

NasdaqCM:RVYL
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The Ryvyl Inc. (NASDAQ:RVYL) share price has softened a substantial 44% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 45% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Ryvyl's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Diversified Financial industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Ryvyl

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:RVYL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 16th 2024

What Does Ryvyl's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Ryvyl as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ryvyl.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Ryvyl's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 43%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 298% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 15% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 4.5%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Ryvyl's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Ryvyl's P/S

Ryvyl's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Ryvyl's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Ryvyl you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.