Stock Analysis

Qifu Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:QFIN) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NasdaqGS:QFIN
Source: Shutterstock

Qifu Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:QFIN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 126% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may still consider Qifu Technology as a highly attractive investment with its 7.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Qifu Technology has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Qifu Technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:QFIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Qifu Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Qifu Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 12% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Qifu Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Qifu Technology are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Qifu Technology currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Qifu Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Qifu Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.