Merchants Bancorp Valuation

Is MBIN.O undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MBIN.O when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MBIN.O ($25.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($78.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MBIN.O is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MBIN.O?

Key metric: As MBIN.O is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MBIN.O. This is calculated by dividing MBIN.O's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MBIN.O's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.7x
EarningsUS$267.52m
Market CapUS$1.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MBIN.O's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MBIN.O vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage
13.1x8.4%US$2.2b
NMIH NMI Holdings
8.3x4.8%US$3.0b
VEL Velocity Financial
10.3x6.4%US$664.9m
WD Walker & Dunlop
39x28.4%US$3.6b
MBIN.O Merchants Bancorp
6.7x0.9%US$1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MBIN.O is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MBIN.O's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FOA Finance of America Companies
1.3x-143.9%US$630.97m
SHFS SHF Holdings
2.9xn/aUS$17.61m
PMIR PMI Group
1.2xn/aUS$6.80m
ACGX Alliance Creative Group
1.8xn/aUS$421.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
MBIN.O 6.7xIndustry Avg. 18.5xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MBIN.O is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the US Diversified Financial industry average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MBIN.O's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MBIN.O PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.7x
Fair PE Ratio11.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MBIN.O is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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