Stock Analysis

Market Cool On CaliberCos Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CWD) Revenues

NasdaqCM:CWD
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CaliberCos Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CWD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Capital Markets industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.6x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for CaliberCos

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:CWD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 16th 2023

How CaliberCos Has Been Performing

The recent revenue growth at CaliberCos would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance might fall short of industry figures in the near future, leading to a reduced P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on CaliberCos' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For CaliberCos?

CaliberCos' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.3% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 80% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 8.1% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that CaliberCos' P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From CaliberCos' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We're very surprised to see CaliberCos currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for CaliberCos (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.