Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Alerus Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:ALRS) For Its Upcoming Dividend

NasdaqCM:ALRS
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Alerus Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:ALRS) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Meaning, you will need to purchase Alerus Financial's shares before the 13th of September to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 11th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.20 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of US$0.80 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Alerus Financial stock has a trailing yield of around 3.8% on the current share price of US$21.25. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Alerus Financial's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Alerus Financial can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Check out our latest analysis for Alerus Financial

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Alerus Financial paid out a disturbingly high 215% of its profit as dividends last year, which makes us concerned there's something we don't fully understand in the business.

Generally, the higher a company's payout ratio, the more the dividend is at risk of being reduced.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
NasdaqCM:ALRS Historic Dividend September 8th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Alerus Financial's earnings per share have dropped 28% a year over the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Alerus Financial has delivered an average of 8.7% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Alerus Financial is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

The Bottom Line

Is Alerus Financial worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share are in decline and Alerus Financial is paying out what we feel is an uncomfortably high percentage of its profit as dividends. Generally we think dividend investors should avoid businesses in this situation, as high payout ratios and declining earnings can lead to the dividend being cut. This is not an overtly appealing combination of characteristics, and we're just not that interested in this company's dividend.

So if you're still interested in Alerus Financial despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Alerus Financial and you should be aware of these before buying any shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.