Zensho Holdings Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:ZSHO.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.3b

Zensho Holdings Valuation

Is ZSHO.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZSHO.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZSHO.F ($56) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($81.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZSHO.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZSHO.F?

Key metric: As ZSHO.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ZSHO.F. This is calculated by dividing ZSHO.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ZSHO.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.8x
EarningsJP¥38.23b
Market CapJP¥1.42t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZSHO.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZSHO.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average93x
ARMK Aramark
41x24.3%US$11.1b
WING Wingstop
96x19.5%US$9.9b
BROS Dutch Bros
200x43.7%US$9.4b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
34.8x12.5%US$13.7b
ZSHO.F Zensho Holdings
36.8x18.2%US$1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZSHO.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the peer average (93.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZSHO.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.9xn/aUS$6.49m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
ZSHO.F 36.8xIndustry Avg. 25.0xNo. of Companies18PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZSHO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (25x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZSHO.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZSHO.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ZSHO.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZSHO.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$61.45
0%
13.8%US$71.16US$50.46n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
US$57.01
0%
4.5%US$60.00US$53.79n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$57.01
0%
4.5%US$60.00US$53.79n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$57.01
0%
4.5%US$60.00US$53.79n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
US$50.57
0%
1.2%US$50.99US$49.72n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
US$50.57
0%
1.2%US$50.99US$49.72n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
US$50.57
0%
1.2%US$50.99US$49.72n/a3
May ’25n/a
US$51.11
0%
3.1%US$52.22US$48.87n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
US$51.11
0%
3.1%US$52.22US$48.87n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
US$51.06
0%
3.4%US$52.62US$48.62n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
US$55.50
0%
6.6%US$60.66US$52.58n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
US$59.40
0%
6.5%US$63.27US$55.54n/a2
Dec ’24n/a
US$49.21
0%
23.1%US$60.67US$33.71n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$44.37
0%
18.2%US$53.92US$34.13n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
US$44.37
0%
18.2%US$53.92US$34.13n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
US$44.37
0%
18.2%US$53.92US$34.13n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
US$38.05
0%
14.7%US$44.23US$30.68n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
US$38.05
0%
14.7%US$44.23US$30.68n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
US$38.05
0%
14.7%US$44.23US$30.68n/a3
May ’24n/a
US$28.36
0%
6.7%US$30.25US$26.47n/a2
Apr ’24n/a
US$27.48
0%
5.5%US$29.45US$25.77n/a3
Mar ’24n/a
US$25.34
0%
8.7%US$27.57US$22.36n/a3
Feb ’24n/a
US$23.03
0%
11.1%US$26.63US$20.87n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
US$23.03
0%
11.1%US$26.63US$20.87n/a3
Dec ’23n/a
US$23.03
0%
11.1%US$26.63US$20.87n/a3
Nov ’23n/a
US$24.06
0%
6.0%US$25.93US$22.43n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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