Let's talk about the popular Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$126 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$109. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Yum! Brands' current trading price of US$117 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Yum! Brands’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Yum! Brands
Is Yum! Brands still cheap?
According to my valuation model, Yum! Brands seems to be fairly priced at around 7.90% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Yum! Brands today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $108.70, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Yum! Brands’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of Yum! Brands look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Yum! Brands, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 1.5%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? YUM’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on YUM, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Yum! Brands, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Yum! Brands has 3 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:YUM
Yum! Brands
Develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants worldwide.
Average dividend payer low.