Shake Shack Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Shake Shack is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 28.3% and 12.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.6% in 3 years.
Key information
28.3%
Earnings growth rate
26.4%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 22.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.2% |
| Future return on equity | 9.6% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 09 Sep 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
After Leaping 31% Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Aug 22
Shake Shack: Set To Thrive Under New Leadership
Aug 22Shake Shack: A Solid Performance Outlook For The Business
Aug 16Shake Shack: Poor Business Fundamentals Indicate Overvaluation
Jul 14Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?
Jul 12Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Jun 17Shake Shack: Priced With Too Much Growth Anticipation
May 06Shake Shack: Reiterate Buy Rating As Margin Improvement Initiatives Are Working Well
Feb 27Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
Feb 22Shake Shack: Upgrading To Buy On Expansion And Marketing Plans
Feb 01The Price Is Right For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK)
Jan 27Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Using Too Much Debt?
Dec 15Shake Shack: Rating Upgrade As Profitability Shows Great Improvement
Nov 20Shake Shack: A Decent Quarter, But Traffic Declines Persist
Nov 03Shake Shack's (NYSE:SHAK) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Nov 03Shake Shack: Combating Revenue Growth And Rising Cost Challenges
Oct 03Shake Shack: Long-Term Story Is Attractive, But Some Near-Term Headwinds
Aug 30Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) A Risky Investment?
Jul 13Shake Shack: Growth Potential, But Margin Issues Remain
Jun 23Shake Shack: Remain As A Hold Until Further Signs Of Margin Improvement
Jun 13At US$55.25, Is Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Worth Looking At Closely?
Apr 18Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 22% Below Its Share Price
Mar 28Shake Shack: Margin Movement Is A Concern
Feb 22Shake Shack Q4 2022 Earnings Preview
Feb 15Shake Shack: Margins Remain Under Pressure
Jan 30Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Jan 24Shake Shack Q4 revenue surpasses consensus
Jan 10What Does Shake Shack Inc.'s (NYSE:SHAK) Share Price Indicate?
Dec 28An Intrinsic Calculation For Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE:SHAK) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued
Dec 02Shake Shack: Beginning Of A Margin Expansion Story
Oct 24Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Using Debt Sensibly?
Sep 07Shake Shack: Don't Chase The Stock Here
Aug 15Shake Shack: Burgeoning Urban Sales Solidify Our Long-Term Outperformance Thesis
Jun 21Is Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
May 22Shake Shack: Revenue Growth Is Strong, But That Doesn't Mean You Should Buy The Dip
May 16Shake Shack: Another Falling Knife That Could Fall Further
Mar 04Health Check: How Prudently Does Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) Use Debt?
Feb 10Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 1,625 | 59 | 55 | 228 | 11 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,437 | 45 | 22 | 192 | 23 |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,249 | 27 | 15 | 186 | 22 |
| 6/26/2024 | 1,169 | 27 | 17 | 154 | N/A |
| 3/27/2024 | 1,125 | 24 | -2 | 143 | N/A |
| 12/27/2023 | 1,088 | 20 | -14 | 132 | N/A |
| 9/27/2023 | 1,040 | 2 | -48 | 113 | N/A |
| 6/28/2023 | 991 | -4 | -58 | 104 | N/A |
| 3/29/2023 | 950 | -13 | -60 | 89 | N/A |
| 12/28/2022 | 900 | -21 | -66 | 77 | N/A |
| 9/28/2022 | 865 | -23 | -58 | 69 | N/A |
| 6/29/2022 | 831 | -23 | -55 | 57 | N/A |
| 3/30/2022 | 788 | -20 | -50 | 56 | N/A |
| 12/29/2021 | 740 | -5 | -43 | 58 | N/A |
| 9/29/2021 | 694 | -18 | -38 | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 631 | -22 | -20 | 56 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 535 | -40 | -33 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/30/2020 | 523 | -42 | -32 | 37 | N/A |
| 9/23/2020 | 517 | -25 | -27 | 45 | N/A |
| 6/24/2020 | 544 | -9 | -16 | 72 | N/A |
| 3/25/2020 | 605 | 16 | -21 | 80 | N/A |
| 12/25/2019 | 595 | 20 | -17 | 90 | N/A |
| 9/25/2019 | 567 | 21 | -13 | 96 | N/A |
| 6/26/2019 | 529 | 16 | -27 | 80 | N/A |
| 3/27/2019 | 493 | 14 | -11 | 83 | N/A |
| 12/26/2018 | 459 | 15 | -2 | 85 | N/A |
| 9/26/2018 | 431 | 4 | -1 | 80 | N/A |
| 6/27/2018 | 406 | 4 | 5 | 78 | N/A |
| 3/28/2018 | 381 | 1 | N/A | 80 | N/A |
| 12/27/2017 | 359 | 0 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
| 9/27/2017 | 336 | 16 | N/A | 68 | N/A |
| 6/28/2017 | 316 | 15 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 3/29/2017 | 291 | 13 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
| 12/28/2016 | 268 | 12 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 9/28/2016 | 246 | 10 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 6/29/2016 | 225 | 8 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 3/30/2016 | 207 | 5 | N/A | 45 | N/A |
| 12/30/2015 | 191 | -9 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 174 | -11 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 7/1/2015 | 153 | -12 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 4/1/2015 | 132 | -12 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 119 | 2 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 9/24/2014 | 107 | 5 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 6/25/2014 | 98 | 4 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 3/26/2014 | 88 | 5 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 12/25/2013 | 82 | 5 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHAK's forecast earnings growth (28.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).
Earnings vs Market: SHAK's earnings (28.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: SHAK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: SHAK's revenue (12.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SHAK's revenue (12.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: SHAK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.6%).