Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC)

NYSE:SGHC
Source: Shutterstock

It's not a stretch to say that Super Group (SGHC) Limited's (NYSE:SGHC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Super Group (SGHC)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SGHC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

How Has Super Group (SGHC) Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Super Group (SGHC) as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Super Group (SGHC)'s future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Super Group (SGHC)?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Super Group (SGHC)'s to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.8%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 55% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.0% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Super Group (SGHC) is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Super Group (SGHC)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Super Group (SGHC)'s revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Super Group (SGHC) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Super Group (SGHC) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.