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Investors Appear Satisfied With Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s (NYSE:RCL) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%
Despite an already strong run, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 115% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Following the firm bounce in price, Royal Caribbean Cruises may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times have been advantageous for Royal Caribbean Cruises as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Royal Caribbean Cruises
How Is Royal Caribbean Cruises' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Royal Caribbean Cruises' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 50% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Royal Caribbean Cruises' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Royal Caribbean Cruises' shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Royal Caribbean Cruises maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Royal Caribbean Cruises that you need to be mindful of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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