Stock Analysis

Is Graham Holdings (NYSE:GHC) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:GHC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE:GHC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Graham Holdings

How Much Debt Does Graham Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Graham Holdings had US$631.1m of debt, an increase on US$540.4m, over one year. However, it does have US$949.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$318.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GHC Debt to Equity History July 10th 2022

How Strong Is Graham Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Graham Holdings had liabilities of US$1.04b due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.81b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$949.2m in cash and US$532.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.37b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Graham Holdings is worth US$2.75b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Graham Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, Graham Holdings grew its EBIT by 4.9% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Graham Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Graham Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Graham Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing up

While Graham Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$318.1m. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 4.9% in the last twelve months. So we don't have any problem with Graham Holdings's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Graham Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.