Cedar Fair Valuation

Is FUN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FUN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FUN ($43.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($29.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FUN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FUN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FUN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.3x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FUN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FUN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.8x
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment
16.5x22.2%US$2.1b
BOWL Bowlero
17.9x16.2%US$1.8b
LTH Life Time Group Holdings
41.4x33.7%US$3.0b
SIX Six Flags Entertainment
83.6x46.8%US$2.2b
FUN Cedar Fair
17.7x20.1%US$2.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FUN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (39.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FUN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FUN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FUN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FUN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FUN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FUN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$43.50
US$52.78
+21.3%
4.0%US$55.00US$49.00n/a9
May ’25US$38.10
US$51.67
+35.6%
4.7%US$56.00US$48.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$42.28
US$51.67
+22.2%
4.7%US$56.00US$48.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$42.42
US$51.22
+20.8%
3.8%US$55.00US$48.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$40.83
US$49.50
+21.2%
5.4%US$55.00US$46.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$39.80
US$48.44
+21.7%
7.6%US$55.00US$42.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$39.22
US$47.89
+22.1%
6.2%US$51.00US$42.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$37.51
US$47.70
+27.2%
10.1%US$56.00US$40.00n/a10
Oct ’24US$37.00
US$48.80
+31.9%
9.4%US$58.00US$42.00n/a10
Sep ’24US$40.80
US$49.00
+20.1%
8.8%US$58.00US$43.00n/a10
Aug ’24US$38.80
US$49.70
+28.1%
13.6%US$61.00US$41.00n/a10
Jul ’24US$39.97
US$51.82
+29.6%
9.5%US$61.00US$44.00n/a11
Jun ’24US$44.68
US$51.82
+16.0%
9.5%US$61.00US$44.00n/a11
May ’24US$43.09
US$53.78
+24.8%
9.4%US$61.00US$45.00US$38.109
Apr ’24US$45.69
US$53.88
+17.9%
9.9%US$61.00US$45.00US$42.288
Mar ’24US$46.50
US$53.88
+15.9%
9.9%US$61.00US$45.00US$42.428
Feb ’24US$41.95
US$50.00
+19.2%
11.6%US$58.00US$41.00US$40.838
Jan ’24US$41.34
US$49.50
+19.7%
11.6%US$58.00US$41.00US$39.808
Dec ’23US$41.43
US$49.50
+19.5%
11.6%US$58.00US$41.00US$39.228
Nov ’23US$41.79
US$54.38
+30.1%
16.8%US$68.00US$41.00US$37.518
Oct ’23US$41.15
US$59.11
+43.6%
14.9%US$74.00US$41.00US$37.009
Sep ’23US$41.95
US$59.00
+40.6%
15.3%US$74.00US$40.00US$40.809
Aug ’23US$42.32
US$65.33
+54.4%
17.4%US$89.00US$51.00US$38.809
Jul ’23US$45.90
US$69.30
+51.0%
13.5%US$90.00US$50.00US$39.9710
Jun ’23US$47.49
US$71.30
+50.1%
11.9%US$90.00US$57.00US$44.6810
May ’23US$53.44
US$70.00
+31.0%
11.7%US$90.00US$56.00US$43.0910

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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