Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

NYSE:FUN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.5b

Six Flags Entertainment Valuation

Is FUN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FUN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FUN ($45.43) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($53.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FUN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FUN?

Key metric: As FUN is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FUN. This is calculated by dividing FUN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FUN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.9x
SalesUS$2.39b
Market CapUS$4.54b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FUN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FUN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
LTH Life Time Group Holdings
2x9.8%US$5.0b
MTN Vail Resorts
2.4x3.9%US$6.8b
PRKS United Parks & Resorts
1.8x2.2%US$3.1b
PLNT Planet Fitness
8.1x11.3%US$8.5b
FUN Six Flags Entertainment
1.9x11.5%US$4.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FUN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (3.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FUN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.2x-2.7%US$1.09b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.2%US$722.24m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
GENK GEN Restaurant Group
0.2x18.5%US$254.53m
FUN 1.9xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies30PS01.22.43.64.86+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FUN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FUN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FUN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FUN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FUN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$45.43
US$54.83
+20.7%
10.2%US$65.00US$44.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$40.62
US$54.42
+34.0%
10.6%US$65.00US$43.00n/a12
Oct ’25US$38.55
US$58.64
+52.1%
11.0%US$67.00US$43.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$43.78
US$59.36
+35.6%
9.2%US$67.00US$48.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$47.04
US$66.14
+40.6%
7.2%US$77.00US$62.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$52.11
US$60.00
+15.1%
8.3%US$65.00US$55.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$39.80
US$47.50
+19.3%
7.4%US$51.00US$44.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$39.22
US$48.00
+22.4%
5.4%US$51.00US$44.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$37.51
US$47.70
+27.2%
10.1%US$56.00US$40.00US$40.6210
Oct ’24US$37.00
US$48.80
+31.9%
9.4%US$58.00US$42.00US$38.5510
Sep ’24US$40.80
US$49.00
+20.1%
8.8%US$58.00US$43.00US$43.7810
Aug ’24US$38.80
US$49.70
+28.1%
13.6%US$61.00US$41.00US$47.0410
Jul ’24US$39.97
US$51.82
+29.6%
9.5%US$61.00US$44.00US$52.1111
Jun ’24US$44.68
US$51.82
+16.0%
9.5%US$61.00US$44.00US$43.4311
May ’24US$43.09
US$53.78
+24.8%
9.4%US$61.00US$45.00US$38.109
Apr ’24US$45.69
US$53.88
+17.9%
9.9%US$61.00US$45.00US$42.288
Mar ’24US$46.50
US$53.88
+15.9%
9.9%US$61.00US$45.00US$42.428
Feb ’24US$41.95
US$50.00
+19.2%
11.6%US$58.00US$41.00US$40.838
Jan ’24US$41.34
US$49.50
+19.7%
11.6%US$58.00US$41.00US$39.808
Dec ’23US$41.43
US$49.50
+19.5%
11.6%US$58.00US$41.00US$39.228
Nov ’23US$41.79
US$54.38
+30.1%
16.8%US$68.00US$41.00US$37.518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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