Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation

NYSE:LUCK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.5b

Lucky Strike Entertainment Valuation

Is LUCK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUCK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$0.65
Fair Value
1.5k% overvalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LUCK ($10.48) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LUCK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUCK?

Key metric: As LUCK is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LUCK. This is calculated by dividing LUCK's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LUCK's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesUS$1.19b
Market CapUS$1.54b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LUCK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LUCK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment
0.4x4.2%US$971.8m
XPOF Xponential Fitness
1.5x7.6%US$723.9m
PRKS United Parks & Resorts
1.7x2.2%US$3.0b
FUN Six Flags Entertainment
1.9x9.9%US$4.6b
LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment
1.3x6.3%US$1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LUCK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

28 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.2x-2.1%US$971.45m
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.0%US$730.78m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
GENK GEN Restaurant Group
0.2x18.5%US$239.57m
LUCK 1.3xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies28PS01.22.43.64.86+
28 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LUCK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUCK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUCK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LUCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUCK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.48
US$17.35
+65.6%
24.6%US$29.00US$12.00n/a10
Jan ’26US$10.01
US$17.45
+74.3%
24.2%US$29.00US$12.00n/a10
Dec ’25US$12.31
US$17.35
+40.9%
24.6%US$29.00US$12.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$10.33
US$17.45
+68.9%
24.2%US$29.00US$12.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$11.30
US$18.06
+59.8%
22.2%US$29.00US$15.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$11.05
US$17.65
+59.7%
22.7%US$29.00US$14.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$12.11
US$17.65
+45.7%
22.7%US$29.00US$14.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$14.33
US$17.65
+23.2%
22.7%US$29.00US$14.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$12.45
US$17.65
+41.8%
22.7%US$29.00US$14.00n/a10
May ’25US$11.90
US$19.25
+61.8%
19.3%US$30.00US$17.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$14.37
US$19.45
+35.4%
19.3%US$30.00US$17.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$13.19
US$19.45
+47.5%
19.3%US$30.00US$17.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$11.12
US$18.25
+64.1%
16.3%US$25.00US$14.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$14.16
US$18.25
+28.9%
16.3%US$25.00US$14.00US$10.0110
Dec ’24US$10.79
US$18.25
+69.1%
16.3%US$25.00US$14.00US$12.3110
Nov ’24US$9.63
US$18.85
+95.7%
14.8%US$25.00US$16.00US$10.3310
Oct ’24US$9.62
US$18.75
+94.9%
15.3%US$25.00US$16.00US$11.3010
Sep ’24US$11.06
US$20.35
+84.0%
15.3%US$25.00US$16.00US$11.0510
Aug ’24US$12.06
US$20.65
+71.2%
13.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$12.1110
Jul ’24US$11.64
US$20.55
+76.5%
13.5%US$25.00US$17.00US$14.3310
Jun ’24US$11.33
US$20.72
+82.9%
12.7%US$25.00US$17.00US$12.459
May ’24US$14.74
US$21.00
+42.5%
14.5%US$26.00US$17.00US$11.908
Apr ’24US$16.95
US$20.71
+22.2%
15.3%US$26.00US$17.00US$14.377
Mar ’24US$15.23
US$19.00
+24.8%
12.2%US$24.00US$17.00US$13.196
Feb ’24US$13.90
US$17.40
+25.2%
5.9%US$19.00US$16.00US$11.125
Jan ’24US$13.48
US$17.40
+29.1%
5.9%US$19.00US$16.00US$14.165
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
US$17.35
Fair Value
39.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/15 10:36
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/14 00:00
Earnings2024/09/29
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation is covered by 12 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric WoldB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Jason Ross TilchenCanaccord Genuity
Maria RippsCanaccord Genuity