Carriage Services, Inc.

NYSE:CSV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$590.7m

Carriage Services Valuation

Is CSV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSV ($38.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($84.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSV?

Key metric: As CSV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CSV. This is calculated by dividing CSV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CSV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsUS$34.32m
Market CapUS$590.66m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.3x
EWCZ European Wax Center
22.9x28.0%US$336.0m
MCW Mister Car Wash
33.8x22.7%US$2.5b
FTDR Frontdoor
18.2x3.0%US$4.1b
OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings
38.2x19.1%US$2.0b
CSV Carriage Services
17x23.8%US$590.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (28.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QSG QuantaSing Group
2.7x-21.4%US$144.65m
STG Sunlands Technology Group
1.4xn/aUS$90.87m
RGS Regis
0.5xn/aUS$42.43m
REDU RISE Education Cayman
1xn/aUS$40.41m
CSV 17.0xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$38.25
US$47.75
+24.8%
5.6%US$52.00US$45.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$36.89
US$41.75
+13.2%
6.9%US$45.00US$38.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$32.75
US$39.25
+19.8%
2.1%US$40.00US$38.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$33.15
US$39.25
+18.4%
2.1%US$40.00US$38.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$32.39
US$39.25
+21.2%
2.1%US$40.00US$38.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$26.51
US$37.00
+39.6%
8.1%US$40.00US$32.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$26.89
US$37.00
+37.6%
8.1%US$40.00US$32.00n/a4
May ’25US$25.81
US$36.75
+42.4%
9.3%US$40.00US$31.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$26.52
US$36.75
+38.6%
9.3%US$40.00US$31.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$24.41
US$36.75
+50.6%
9.3%US$40.00US$31.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$25.22
US$36.00
+42.7%
13.0%US$40.00US$28.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$25.01
US$36.00
+43.9%
13.0%US$40.00US$28.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$23.15
US$36.00
+55.5%
13.0%US$40.00US$28.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$21.18
US$43.75
+106.6%
9.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$36.894
Oct ’24US$28.25
US$43.75
+54.9%
9.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$32.754
Sep ’24US$30.88
US$43.75
+41.7%
9.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$33.154
Aug ’24US$32.30
US$43.75
+35.4%
9.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$32.394
Jul ’24US$32.47
US$43.75
+34.7%
9.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$26.514
Jun ’24US$25.49
US$43.75
+71.6%
9.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$26.894
May ’24US$29.69
US$44.25
+49.0%
8.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$25.814
Apr ’24US$30.52
US$44.25
+45.0%
8.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$26.524
Mar ’24US$33.96
US$44.25
+30.3%
8.5%US$50.00US$40.00US$24.414
Feb ’24US$32.41
US$40.00
+23.4%
19.7%US$50.00US$28.00US$25.224
Jan ’24US$27.54
US$40.00
+45.2%
19.7%US$50.00US$28.00US$25.014
Dec ’23US$24.79
US$40.00
+61.4%
19.7%US$50.00US$28.00US$23.154
Nov ’23US$23.88
US$40.00
+67.5%
19.7%US$50.00US$28.00US$21.184

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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