Carriage Services Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Carriage Services is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.8% and 4.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 21.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 20.6% in 3 years.

Key information

23.8%

Earnings growth rate

21.2%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Services earnings growth	24.4%
Revenue growth rate	4.6%
Future return on equity	20.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Carriage Services: Upcoming Q3 Numbers Likely To Boost Year To Date Gains

Oct 22

Carriage Services: Funeral Home Consolidator Goes Unnoticed In Rapidly Changing Market

Jul 02

Carriage Services: Still Not Cheap Enough To Justify Balance Sheet Concerns

Apr 04

Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.1125

Jan 22

Carriage Services: A Fragmented Market Provides Great Opportunities For This Industry Consolidator

Jan 03

Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Nov 14

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:CSV - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	457	52	65	85	1
12/31/2025	420	45	60	81	4
12/31/2024	403	31	55	77	4
9/30/2024	405	34	40	56	N/A
6/30/2024	395	29	42	58	N/A
3/31/2024	390	31	53	69	N/A
12/31/2023	383	33	58	76	N/A
9/30/2023	378	30	54	73	N/A
6/30/2023	375	31	48	70	N/A
3/31/2023	368	34	47	71	N/A
12/31/2022	370	41	35	61	N/A
9/30/2022	372	46	35	65	N/A
6/30/2022	380	54	43	73	N/A
3/31/2022	377	37	46	73	N/A
12/31/2021	376	33	59	84	N/A
9/30/2021	370	28	64	85	N/A
6/30/2021	359	21	75	93	N/A
3/31/2021	349	33	79	96	N/A
12/31/2020	329	16	68	83	N/A
9/30/2020	311	10	61	75	N/A
6/30/2020	292	5	40	52	N/A
3/31/2020	283	4	31	46	N/A
12/31/2019	274	14	28	43	N/A
9/30/2019	269	9	30	46	N/A
6/30/2019	268	11	28	45	N/A
3/31/2019	264	9	30	45	N/A
12/31/2018	268	12	35	49	N/A
9/30/2018	267	37	41	53	N/A
6/30/2018	263	38	N/A	51	N/A
3/31/2018	263	39	N/A	52	N/A
12/31/2017	258	37	N/A	45	N/A
9/30/2017	256	19	N/A	46	N/A
6/30/2017	255	21	N/A	45	N/A
3/31/2017	253	22	N/A	48	N/A
12/31/2016	248	19	N/A	50	N/A
9/30/2016	247	21	N/A	42	N/A
6/30/2016	245	19	N/A	47	N/A
3/31/2016	243	19	N/A	48	N/A
12/31/2015	243	21	N/A	51	N/A
9/30/2015	240	20	N/A	52	N/A
6/30/2015	236	21	N/A	52	N/A
3/31/2015	234	20	N/A	51	N/A
12/31/2014	226	15	N/A	37	N/A
9/30/2014	219	14	N/A	36	N/A
6/30/2014	214	11	N/A	30	N/A
3/31/2014	211	11	N/A	28	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CSV's forecast earnings growth (23.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: CSV's earnings (23.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CSV's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CSV's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CSV's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CSV's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (20.6%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/02 00:29
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Carriage Services, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Gary Prestopino	Barrington Research Associates, Inc.
Alexander Paris	Barrington Research Associates, Inc.
Liam Burke	B. Riley Securities, Inc.

Carriage Services Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 11% to US$43.75

Price target increased by 11% to US$40.75

Carriage Services, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024

Carriage Services, Inc. Increases Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Price target decreased by 11% to US$39.00

Recent updates

Carriage Services, Inc. Announces the Appointment of John Enwright as Chief Financial Officer, Effective January 2, 2025

Senior VP notifies of intention to sell stock

Senior VP & Regional Partner of West recently sold US$189k worth of stock

Senior VP & Regional Partner of West notifies of intention to sell stock

Price target increased by 11% to US$43.75

High number of new directors

Price target increased by 11% to US$40.75

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Carriage Services, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024

Carriage Services: Upcoming Q3 Numbers Likely To Boost Year To Date Gains

Second quarter dividend of US$0.11 announced

Carriage Services, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 2, 2024

Carriage Services, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 30, 2024

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought US$94k worth of stock

Senior VP notifies of intention to sell stock

CEO & Vice Chairman recently bought US$59k worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Carriage Services, Inc. Increases Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024

First quarter dividend of US$0.11 announced

Carriage Services, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 31, 2024

Carriage Services: Funeral Home Consolidator Goes Unnoticed In Rapidly Changing Market

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought US$113k worth of stock

Carriage Services, Inc. Announces Resignation of L. Kian Granmayeh as Executive Vice President and Treasurer

Senior VP recently sold US$547k worth of stock

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.11 announced

Carriage Services, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 01, 2024

Carriage Services: Still Not Cheap Enough To Justify Balance Sheet Concerns

Carriage Services, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 14, 2024

Senior VP & Regional Partner of West recently sold US$168k worth of stock

Independent Director recently bought US$131k worth of stock

Founder & Executive Chairman recently sold US$90k worth of stock

Founder & Executive Chairman recently sold US$90k worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mel Payne to Step Down as Executive Chairman of Carriage Services, Inc

Carriage Services, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share at 1.8% yield

Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.1125

Carriage Services Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 1, 2024

Carriage Services: A Fragmented Market Provides Great Opportunities For This Industry Consolidator

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue

Price target decreased by 11% to US$39.00

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Carriage Services, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2023

Carriage Services: Cheap After The Failed Buyout

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share at 2.1% yield

Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.1125

Carriage Services Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 1, 2023

Carriage Services, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 08, 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Carriage Services: Slow And Steady Growth Comes At A Fair Price

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Carriage Services, Inc. Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for the Full-Year 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.11 per share at 1.4% yield

Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.1125

Carriage Services, Inc. Announces Board Changes

Carriage Services, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

Carriage Services, Inc. Appoints Somer Webb to Serve as Class I Director

Here's Why Carriage Services (NYSE:CSV) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%

Carriage Services, Inc. Announces Management Changes

Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

Carriage Services: $23 Level Now Looks Likely That It Will Be Tested

Senior VP & Regional Partner of West exercised options and sold US$129k worth of stock

Carriage Services, Inc. Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for the Year 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations