OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited

NasdaqCM:OSW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

OneSpaWorld Holdings Valuation

Is OSW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OSW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OSW ($18.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($50.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OSW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OSW?

Key metric: As OSW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OSW. This is calculated by dividing OSW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OSW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38x
EarningsUS$51.17m
Market CapUS$1.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OSW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OSW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
MCW Mister Car Wash
34x22.7%US$2.6b
FTDR Frontdoor
17.6x3.0%US$4.2b
CSV Carriage Services
17.2x23.8%US$580.0m
HRB H&R Block
14.1x5.0%US$8.2b
OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings
38x19.1%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OSW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OSW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QSG QuantaSing Group
2.7x-21.4%US$143.12m
STG Sunlands Technology Group
1.4xn/aUS$91.73m
REDU RISE Education Cayman
1xn/aUS$40.41m
RGS Regis
0.5xn/aUS$39.58m
OSW 38.0xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OSW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OSW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OSW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OSW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OSW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.69
US$20.50
+9.7%
12.2%US$24.00US$17.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$17.58
US$20.50
+16.6%
12.2%US$24.00US$17.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$16.28
US$19.50
+19.8%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$15.87
US$19.50
+22.9%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$15.91
US$19.50
+22.6%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$15.13
US$18.00
+19.0%
13.0%US$22.00US$16.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$15.55
US$17.75
+14.1%
14.0%US$22.00US$16.00n/a4
May ’25US$14.30
US$17.25
+20.6%
12.6%US$21.00US$16.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$13.40
US$17.25
+28.7%
12.6%US$21.00US$16.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$13.15
US$17.67
+34.3%
13.3%US$21.00US$16.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$14.02
US$17.25
+23.0%
12.6%US$21.00US$16.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$14.10
US$15.50
+9.9%
7.2%US$17.00US$14.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$12.23
US$14.75
+20.6%
10.0%US$17.00US$13.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$10.33
US$15.75
+52.5%
19.8%US$21.00US$13.00US$17.584
Oct ’24US$11.22
US$16.00
+42.6%
18.2%US$21.00US$14.00US$16.284
Sep ’24US$11.50
US$16.00
+39.1%
18.2%US$21.00US$14.00US$15.874
Aug ’24US$12.52
US$15.25
+21.8%
18.8%US$20.00US$13.00US$15.914
Jul ’24US$12.10
US$15.25
+26.0%
18.8%US$20.00US$13.00US$15.134
Jun ’24US$10.77
US$15.25
+41.6%
18.8%US$20.00US$13.00US$15.554
May ’24US$12.76
US$14.25
+11.7%
19.5%US$19.00US$12.00US$14.304
Apr ’24US$11.99
US$15.00
+25.1%
18.9%US$19.00US$13.00US$13.403
Mar ’24US$11.60
US$14.67
+26.4%
21.1%US$19.00US$12.00US$13.153
Feb ’24US$10.57
US$14.33
+35.6%
18.3%US$18.00US$12.00US$14.023
Jan ’24US$9.33
US$14.00
+50.1%
15.4%US$17.00US$12.00US$14.103
Dec ’23US$9.99
US$14.50
+45.1%
17.2%US$17.00US$12.00US$12.232
Nov ’23US$8.97
US$13.50
+50.5%
11.1%US$15.00US$12.00US$10.332

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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