OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited

NasdaqCM:OSW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

OneSpaWorld Holdings Valuation

Is OSW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OSW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OSW ($19.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($49.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OSW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OSW?

Key metric: As OSW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OSW. This is calculated by dividing OSW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OSW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.1x
EarningsUS$51.17m
Market CapUS$2.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OSW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OSW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
MCW Mister Car Wash
30.9x22.7%US$2.3b
FTDR Frontdoor
18x3.0%US$4.2b
HRB H&R Block
12.6x5.0%US$7.3b
CSV Carriage Services
17.8x23.8%US$609.8m
OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings
40.1x18.7%US$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OSW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.1x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OSW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QSG QuantaSing Group
1.8x-25.6%US$105.80m
STG Sunlands Technology Group
1.4xn/aUS$82.52m
RGS Regis
0.6xn/aUS$50.10m
REDU RISE Education Cayman
1xn/aUS$40.41m
OSW 40.1xIndustry Avg. 19.9xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OSW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.1x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (19.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OSW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OSW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OSW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OSW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.75
US$21.75
+10.1%
6.8%US$24.00US$20.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$18.99
US$20.50
+8.0%
12.2%US$24.00US$17.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$17.58
US$20.50
+16.6%
12.2%US$24.00US$17.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$16.28
US$19.50
+19.8%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$15.87
US$19.50
+22.9%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$15.91
US$19.50
+22.6%
9.2%US$22.00US$17.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$15.13
US$18.00
+19.0%
13.0%US$22.00US$16.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$15.55
US$17.75
+14.1%
14.0%US$22.00US$16.00n/a4
May ’25US$14.30
US$17.25
+20.6%
12.6%US$21.00US$16.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$13.40
US$17.25
+28.7%
12.6%US$21.00US$16.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$13.15
US$17.67
+34.3%
13.3%US$21.00US$16.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$14.02
US$17.25
+23.0%
12.6%US$21.00US$16.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$14.10
US$15.50
+9.9%
7.2%US$17.00US$14.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$12.23
US$14.75
+20.6%
10.0%US$17.00US$13.00US$18.994
Nov ’24US$10.33
US$15.75
+52.5%
19.8%US$21.00US$13.00US$17.584
Oct ’24US$11.22
US$16.00
+42.6%
18.2%US$21.00US$14.00US$16.284
Sep ’24US$11.50
US$16.00
+39.1%
18.2%US$21.00US$14.00US$15.874
Aug ’24US$12.52
US$15.25
+21.8%
18.8%US$20.00US$13.00US$15.914
Jul ’24US$12.10
US$15.25
+26.0%
18.8%US$20.00US$13.00US$15.134
Jun ’24US$10.77
US$15.25
+41.6%
18.8%US$20.00US$13.00US$15.554
May ’24US$12.76
US$14.25
+11.7%
19.5%US$19.00US$12.00US$14.304
Apr ’24US$11.99
US$15.00
+25.1%
18.9%US$19.00US$13.00US$13.403
Mar ’24US$11.60
US$14.67
+26.4%
21.1%US$19.00US$12.00US$13.153
Feb ’24US$10.57
US$14.33
+35.6%
18.3%US$18.00US$12.00US$14.023
Jan ’24US$9.33
US$14.00
+50.1%
15.4%US$17.00US$12.00US$14.103
Dec ’23US$9.99
US$14.50
+45.1%
17.2%US$17.00US$12.00US$12.232

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 08:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephanie Schiller WissinkJefferies LLC
Laura ChampineLoop Capital Markets
Harry CurtisNomura Securities Co. Ltd.