Frontdoor, Inc.

NasdaqGS:FTDR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.2b

Frontdoor Valuation

Is FTDR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FTDR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FTDR ($55.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($108.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FTDR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FTDR?

Key metric: As FTDR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FTDR. This is calculated by dividing FTDR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FTDR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18x
EarningsUS$234.00m
Market CapUS$4.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FTDR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FTDR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.8x
HRB H&R Block
12.6x5.0%US$7.3b
MCW Mister Car Wash
30.9x22.7%US$2.3b
SCI Service Corporation International
23.6x7.7%US$11.9b
OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings
40.1x18.7%US$2.0b
FTDR Frontdoor
18x3.0%US$4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FTDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (26.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FTDR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Services Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QSG QuantaSing Group
1.8x-25.6%US$105.80m
STG Sunlands Technology Group
1.4xn/aUS$82.52m
RGS Regis
0.6xn/aUS$50.10m
REDU RISE Education Cayman
1xn/aUS$40.41m
FTDR 18.0xIndustry Avg. 19.9xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FTDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the US Consumer Services industry average (18.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FTDR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FTDR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FTDR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FTDR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$55.41
US$56.25
+1.5%
12.1%US$65.00US$46.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$58.60
US$56.25
-4.0%
12.1%US$65.00US$46.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$49.52
US$50.50
+2.0%
11.8%US$56.00US$41.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$47.11
US$50.50
+7.2%
11.8%US$56.00US$41.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$48.08
US$50.50
+5.0%
11.8%US$56.00US$41.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$44.50
US$46.00
+3.4%
18.4%US$56.00US$33.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$33.39
US$41.20
+23.4%
11.3%US$45.00US$33.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$35.37
US$41.20
+16.5%
11.3%US$45.00US$33.00n/a5
May ’25US$30.76
US$39.50
+28.4%
13.8%US$45.00US$31.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$32.04
US$40.20
+25.5%
14.2%US$45.00US$31.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$31.14
US$40.20
+29.1%
14.2%US$45.00US$31.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$33.17
US$41.60
+25.4%
10.2%US$45.00US$34.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$35.22
US$41.00
+16.4%
13.0%US$45.00US$31.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$34.58
US$41.00
+18.6%
13.0%US$45.00US$31.00US$58.605
Nov ’24US$33.31
US$40.80
+22.5%
14.0%US$45.00US$30.00US$49.525
Oct ’24US$30.59
US$39.80
+30.1%
13.3%US$45.00US$30.00US$47.115
Sep ’24US$33.26
US$39.80
+19.7%
13.3%US$45.00US$30.00US$48.085
Aug ’24US$34.93
US$33.00
-5.5%
15.7%US$38.00US$23.00US$44.505
Jul ’24US$31.90
US$32.00
+0.3%
16.2%US$38.00US$23.00US$33.395
Jun ’24US$31.49
US$32.00
+1.6%
16.2%US$38.00US$23.00US$35.375
May ’24US$27.24
US$30.00
+10.1%
12.8%US$34.00US$23.00US$30.765
Apr ’24US$27.88
US$30.00
+7.6%
12.8%US$34.00US$23.00US$32.045
Mar ’24US$27.97
US$26.80
-4.2%
15.7%US$34.00US$21.00US$31.145
Feb ’24US$27.55
US$26.80
-2.7%
15.7%US$34.00US$21.00US$33.175
Jan ’24US$20.80
US$26.80
+28.8%
15.7%US$34.00US$21.00US$35.225
Dec ’23US$23.38
US$26.80
+14.6%
15.7%US$34.00US$21.00US$34.585

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 04:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Frontdoor, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
James ClementBuckingham Research Group Inc.
Matthew GaudiosoCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC