Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

NYSE:CMG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$84.4b

Chipotle Mexican Grill Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Chipotle Mexican Grill is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.5% and 11.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 40.9% in 3 years.

Key information

15.5%

Earnings growth rate

16.7%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth25.3%
Revenue growth rate11.9%
Future return on equity40.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Price Target To US$2,648

Feb 08
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Price Target To US$2,648

Recent updates

Chipotle: In A Tough Spot As Price Hikes May Trigger Further Sales Deterioration

Dec 20

It's Time To Get Mexican Food: Chipotle Is A Buy (Technical Analysis)

Nov 25

Chipotle: Both The Business And The Investment Are Very Simple

Nov 07

With EPS Growth And More, Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Makes An Interesting Case

Oct 19
With EPS Growth And More, Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Makes An Interesting Case

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Still Too Rich For My Wallet

Oct 17

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Still Destined For Growth

Oct 07

Earnings Tell The Story For Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)

Oct 03
Earnings Tell The Story For Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)

Chipotle: I'm Not Worried About CEO's Departure

Sep 23

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)?

Sep 20
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)?

Beyond The CEO: Evaluating Chipotle's Fundamental Strengths

Sep 11

Chipotle: Departing CEO Niccol Brian Leaves Behind An Extraordinary Team

Aug 23

Chipotle: Can The Sector Leader Avoid Sector Gravity?

Aug 11

Are Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Aug 10
Are Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Chipotle: Growth Meets Overvaluation - A Sell Recommendation

Aug 01

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Why We Exited CMG

Jul 23

Investors Should Be Encouraged By Chipotle Mexican Grill's (NYSE:CMG) Returns On Capital

Jul 11
Investors Should Be Encouraged By Chipotle Mexican Grill's (NYSE:CMG) Returns On Capital

Chipotle And Its Real Value

Jul 08

Chipotle: Growth Beyond The Split, But Valuation On Focus, Hold

Jun 30

Chipotle: Gains Are Likely To Stall As Valuation Risks Are High

Jun 08

Why We're Not Concerned About Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (NYSE:CMG) Share Price

Jun 05
Why We're Not Concerned About Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (NYSE:CMG) Share Price

Chipotle: Unsustainable Price Hikes

May 31

With EPS Growth And More, Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Makes An Interesting Case

May 21
With EPS Growth And More, Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Makes An Interesting Case

Chipotle Remains A Very Strong Hold In My Portfolio

May 06

Capital Investment Trends At Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Look Strong

Apr 08
Capital Investment Trends At Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Look Strong

Chipotle: A Bullish Stock Split, But Shares Near Fair Value

Apr 05

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Stock Split: What Does It Mean For Shareholders?

Mar 21

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)?

Mar 09
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)?

Chipotle: Taking A Breather, But Monitoring Closely

Mar 04

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Price Target To US$2,648

Feb 08
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Price Target To US$2,648

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Passed With Ease

Jan 31
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Passed With Ease

Chipotle: Expansion, Financials, And Valuation Warrants Cautious Investment Consideration

Jan 30

Chipotle: Strong Brand And Market Performance But Expensive Valuation

Jan 18

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 16
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Not Flying Under The Radar

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Is Reinvesting To Multiply In Value

Jan 01
Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Is Reinvesting To Multiply In Value

Chipotle Could Maintain Over 20% Annual Returns

Dec 29

Chipotle's Valuation Leaves Little Room For Error

Dec 16

Chipotle: One Up On Wall Street

Nov 28

Chipotle Q3: Strong Performance, But Valuation Does Matter

Nov 15

Chipotle: Record High Per-Location Sales, It's Time To Buy

Oct 30

Chipotle: Fully Valued Heading Into Q3 Earnings

Oct 15

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:CMG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202614,5382,1361,8232,49222
12/31/202512,8291,7961,5952,31333
12/31/202411,3211,5311,4341,99833
9/30/202410,9851,4841,2511,844N/A
6/30/202410,6631,4101,3011,878N/A
3/31/202410,2051,2961,3251,898N/A
12/31/20239,8721,2291,2231,783N/A
9/30/20239,5361,1701,3871,920N/A
6/30/20239,2841,1141,2511,791N/A
3/31/20238,9831,0329921,495N/A
12/31/20228,6358998441,323N/A
9/30/20228,4158099031,360N/A
6/30/20228,1477568621,289N/A
3/31/20227,8266848071,259N/A
12/31/20217,5476538401,282N/A
9/30/20217,194710512959N/A
6/30/20216,843586502922N/A
3/31/20216,315406405788N/A
12/31/20205,985356290664N/A
9/30/20205,817237393735N/A
6/30/20205,619256369726N/A
3/31/20205,689338374721N/A
12/31/20195,586350388722N/A
9/30/20195,371310349664N/A
6/30/20195,193249326627N/A
3/31/20195,025205309603N/A
12/31/20184,865177334622N/A
9/30/20184,750188320581N/A
6/30/20184,653170N/A520N/A
3/31/20184,556190N/A519N/A
12/31/20174,476176N/A468N/A
9/30/20174,401148N/A447N/A
6/30/20174,310137N/A413N/A
3/31/20174,13995N/A438N/A
12/31/20163,90423N/A355N/A
9/30/20163,86775N/A376N/A
6/30/20164,047212N/A462N/A
3/31/20164,247327N/A502N/A
12/31/20154,501476N/A683N/A
9/30/20154,574529N/A721N/A
6/30/20154,441515N/A723N/A
3/31/20154,293485N/A745N/A
12/31/20144,108445N/A682N/A
9/30/20143,883404N/A690N/A
6/30/20143,625356N/A621N/A
3/31/20143,392334N/A583N/A
12/31/20133,215327N/A529N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CMG's forecast earnings growth (15.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: CMG's earnings (15.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CMG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CMG's revenue (11.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CMG's revenue (11.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CMG's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (40.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 10:51
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is covered by 67 analysts. 33 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research