Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:ARCO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Arcos Dorados Holdings

What Is Arcos Dorados Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Arcos Dorados Holdings had debt of US$732.9m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from US$765.2m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$251.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$481.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ARCO Debt to Equity History January 30th 2024

A Look At Arcos Dorados Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Arcos Dorados Holdings had liabilities of US$784.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.62b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$251.1m and US$164.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.99b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$2.72b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Arcos Dorados Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Arcos Dorados Holdings's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.6 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, Arcos Dorados Holdings grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Arcos Dorados Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Arcos Dorados Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Arcos Dorados Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Arcos Dorados Holdings is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Arcos Dorados Holdings you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.