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Potbelly NasdaqGS:PBPB Stock Report

Last Price

US$9.07

Market Cap

US$270.3m

7D

-9.0%

1Y

-15.6%

Updated

19 Dec, 2024

Data

Company Financials +

Potbelly Corporation

NasdaqGS:PBPB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$270.3m

PBPB Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises Potbelly sandwich shops in the United States. More details

PBPB fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (7.1x) is below the US market (18.2x)

Earnings grew by 661.9% over the past year

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 69.1%

Risk Analysis

High level of non-cash earnings

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 88.2% per year for the next 3 years


My Notes

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Community Narratives

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Narratives bring a range of perspectives from our community.

WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts

Everyday Value And Digital Expansion To Boost Visits, Yet Analysts Predict Shrinking Margins And Earnings

Key Takeaways Introduction of value meal deals and expansion of digital channels could significantly enhance customer visits and engagement, boosting overall revenue. Strategic focus on franchise growth and culinary innovation aims to increase the company's market presence and customer satisfaction, positively impacting earnings.
View narrative
US$15.33
FV
40.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
-0.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
1users have liked this narrative
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1users have followed this narrative
about 1 month ago author updated this narrative

Potbelly Corporation Competitors

Denny's

NasdaqCM:DENN

US$294.1m

Nathan's Famous

NasdaqGS:NATH

US$328.0m

GEN Restaurant Group

NasdaqGM:GENK

US$236.5m

El Pollo Loco Holdings

NasdaqGS:LOCO

US$346.7m

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Potbelly
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$9.07
52 Week HighUS$14.36
52 Week LowUS$6.28
Beta1.31
1 Month Change-7.54%
3 Month Change10.34%
1 Year Change-15.63%
3 Year Change72.11%
5 Year Change108.99%
Change since IPO-70.52%

Recent News & Updates

Potbelly: Margin Improvement Boosts Q3 2024 Adjusted EBITDA

Nov 30

Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

Nov 24
Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB)

Nov 14
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB)

Potbelly: Even With The Rally, It's Still Below My PT

Nov 13

Recent updates

Potbelly: Margin Improvement Boosts Q3 2024 Adjusted EBITDA

Nov 30

Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

Nov 24
Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB)

Nov 14
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB)

Potbelly: Even With The Rally, It's Still Below My PT

Nov 13

Is Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Using Too Much Debt?

Nov 07
Is Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Using Too Much Debt?

Potbelly: Value Levers Seem To Be Paying Off

Oct 03

Potbelly: Challenging Environment Stalls Near-Term Growth, But Long-Term Story Intact

Sep 10

Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Aug 13
Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

Potbelly: A Twist On Value Complements The 'Perks' Hook And Build Strategy

Aug 12

Potbelly: New Units Coming Out Of The Oven!

Jul 13

Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Jun 29
Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

What Is Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Share Price Doing?

Jun 08
What Is Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Share Price Doing?

Potbelly Corporation: Gaining Market Share, But Facing A Softer Overall Market

May 15

Potbelly's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

May 12
Potbelly's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Artko Capital - Potbelly Corp.: There Should Be At Least One More Doubling From Here

Mar 07

Here's Why Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Feb 27
Here's Why Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Potbelly: Finishes 2023 With Sales At The High End Of Expectations

Feb 21

Potbelly's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Dec 22
Potbelly's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Potbelly Corporation (NASDAQ:PBPB)?

Nov 03
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Potbelly Corporation (NASDAQ:PBPB)?

There's No Escaping Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Muted Revenues

Oct 19
There's No Escaping Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Muted Revenues

Here's Why Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jun 07
Here's Why Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Potbelly Corporation (NASDAQ:PBPB)?

May 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Potbelly Corporation (NASDAQ:PBPB)?

The Returns On Capital At Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Don't Inspire Confidence

Apr 12
The Returns On Capital At Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Don't Inspire Confidence

Potbelly: Strong Sales Performance

Sep 17

Potbelly Corp.: The Picture Is Improving, But Risks Remain

Jun 02

Potbelly: Good Post-Pandemic Sales Recovery, But Increased Costs And Share Count

Dec 10

Is Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) A Risky Investment?

Aug 20
Is Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) A Risky Investment?

Shareholder Returns

PBPBUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-9.0%-6.1%-4.0%
1Y-15.6%24.2%24.0%

Return vs Industry: PBPB underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned 24.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: PBPB underperformed the US Market which returned 24% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is PBPB's price volatile compared to industry and market?
PBPB volatility
PBPB Average Weekly Movement7.9%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement5.8%
Market Average Movement6.4%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: PBPB has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: PBPB's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19775,000Bob Wrightwww.potbelly.com

Potbelly Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises Potbelly sandwich shops in the United States. The company was formerly known as Potbelly Sandwich Works, Inc. and changed its name to Potbelly Corporation in 2002. Potbelly Corporation was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Potbelly Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Potbelly's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
PBPB fundamental statistics
Market capUS$270.33m
Earnings (TTM)US$38.42m
Revenue (TTM)US$471.72m

7.1x

P/E Ratio

0.6x

P/S Ratio

Is PBPB overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
PBPB income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$471.72m
Cost of RevenueUS$304.27m
Gross ProfitUS$167.45m
Other ExpensesUS$129.03m
EarningsUS$38.42m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 29, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.28
Gross Margin35.50%
Net Profit Margin8.14%
Debt/Equity Ratio5.7%

How did PBPB perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 02:32
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/29
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Potbelly Corporation is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Todd BrooksBenchmark Company
Gregory FrancfortBofA Global Research