Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO) Shares 26% But It Can Do More

NasdaqGS:MLCO
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Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 18% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Melco Resorts & Entertainment's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Hospitality industry in the United States, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Melco Resorts & Entertainment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MLCO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023

How Melco Resorts & Entertainment Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Melco Resorts & Entertainment has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Melco Resorts & Entertainment's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Melco Resorts & Entertainment would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 102% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 14% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 26% per annum as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Melco Resorts & Entertainment's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Melco Resorts & Entertainment's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Melco Resorts & Entertainment's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Melco Resorts & Entertainment currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Melco Resorts & Entertainment that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.