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Updated 2h ago
CHA logo

Chagee Holdings LimitedNasdaqGS:CHA Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.3b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-31.5%
7D-2.1%
1D-0.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Chagee Holdings Limited

NasdaqGS:CHA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.3b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Chagee Holdings (CHA) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People’s Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States. More details

CHA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends2/6

Rewards

Trading at 45.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 18.28% per year

Earnings grew by 23.8% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for CHA from our risk checks.

CHA Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 65 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
20.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Premium Teahouse Expansion And Healthier Offerings Are Expected To Drive Long-Term Brand Strength

50
0
10
AN
AnalystLowTarget
10.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•13d ago

Global Teahouse Expansion And Membership Scale Will Counter Same Store Weakness Over Time

43
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
38.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Premium Teahouse Expansion And Membership Ecosystem Will Drive Powerful Long Term Earnings Upside

59
0
0

Top Community Narratives

CHA logo
Chagee Holdings
1.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth

View narrative
KA
kaladorm
Updated 31 Mar
Read Narrative

Top Community Narratives

CHA logo
Chagee Holdings
1.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth

View narrative
KA
kaladorm
Updated 31 Mar
Read Narrative

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
20.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Premium Teahouse Expansion And Healthier Offerings Are Expected To Drive Long-Term Brand Strength

50
0
10
AN
AnalystLowTarget
10.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•13d ago

Global Teahouse Expansion And Membership Scale Will Counter Same Store Weakness Over Time

43
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
38.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

Premium Teahouse Expansion And Membership Ecosystem Will Drive Powerful Long Term Earnings Upside

59
0
0
View all narratives

Chagee Holdings Limited Competitors

Shake Shack

Symbol: NYSE:SHAK
Market cap: US$2.5b

Wingstop

Symbol: NasdaqGS:WING
Market cap: US$2.7b

Arcos Dorados Holdings

Symbol: NYSE:ARCO
Market cap: US$1.6b

CAVA Group

Symbol: NYSE:CAVA
Market cap: US$5.8b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Chagee Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$12.19
52 Week HighUS$18.46
52 Week LowUS$8.98
Beta0
1 Month Change20.10%
3 Month Change4.64%
1 Year Change-31.48%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-62.42%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

CHA: Buybacks And Overseas Expansion Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts lifted the price target for Chagee Holdings from $10.21 to $11.04, citing revised assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of their update. What's in the News for Chagee Holdings Chagee Holdings plans to release its unaudited Q2 2026 results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, on August 28, 2026, before the U.S. market opens.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 07

CHA: Share Buyback And Margin Upside Will Balance Slower Expansion

Analysts have reduced their price target for Chagee Holdings to about $10.21 from roughly $11.00, reflecting updated assumptions about the balance of expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News for Chagee Holdings Chagee Holdings opened its first San Diego teahouse at Westfield UTC on July 10.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 24

CHA: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their price target for Chagee Holdings to $19.71 from $35.88 as they now apply lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Chagee Holdings opened its first San Diego location at Westfield UTC, the company’s 10th U.S. teahouse and its first pet-friendly concept, designed around San Diego’s outdoor and dog-friendly culture.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

CHA: Buybacks And Overseas Expansion Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts lifted the price target for Chagee Holdings from $10.21 to $11.04, citing revised assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of their update. What's in the News for Chagee Holdings Chagee Holdings plans to release its unaudited Q2 2026 results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, on August 28, 2026, before the U.S. market opens.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 07

CHA: Share Buyback And Margin Upside Will Balance Slower Expansion

Analysts have reduced their price target for Chagee Holdings to about $10.21 from roughly $11.00, reflecting updated assumptions about the balance of expected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News for Chagee Holdings Chagee Holdings opened its first San Diego teahouse at Westfield UTC on July 10.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 24

CHA: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their price target for Chagee Holdings to $19.71 from $35.88 as they now apply lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Chagee Holdings opened its first San Diego location at Westfield UTC, the company’s 10th U.S. teahouse and its first pet-friendly concept, designed around San Diego’s outdoor and dog-friendly culture.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 10

CHA: Share Repurchase Plan Will Support Long-Term Returns

Chagee Holdings' analyst price target has shifted from $21.76 to $15.38 as analysts now apply slightly higher discount rates, lower revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple in their updated models. What’s in the News for Chagee Holdings Chagee Holdings opened its first San Diego teahouse at Westfield UTC on July 10, introducing the company’s first pet friendly concept and reaching 10 U.S. locations, sourced from Business Expansions data.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 30

Chagee: Same-Store Recovery Is Better, But Still Not Enough

Summary Chagee Holdings Limited remains a hold as same-store GMV declines have moderated but not reversed, signaling early stabilization. Active members rose 12% sequentially to 50 million, with strong repurchase rates and recurring customer engagement supporting CHA’s premium brand thesis. Growth initiatives—agile campaigns and new product launches—are diversifying consumption occasions, but durable same-store recovery is not yet proven. Valuation at 8x NTM PE appears cheap, but discount persists due to ongoing same-store and franchise revenue declines; buyback provides support, not a thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

CHA: Share Buyback And Franchise Model Shift Will Shape Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Chagee Holdings to $11.00 from $12.42. The change reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

Q4 Update - More teahouses, less revenue, more costs

Compared with Q4 2024, Chagee has ~15% more teahouses (7453 to 6440), and yet has 10.8% lower revenues. This is represented by average monthly GMV per teahouse dropping from 456k to 337k RMB (down 26%).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 14

Q3 Update - Revenue sustained only by growth

Revenues did not grow in line with new teahouse openings, and average monthly GMV is down 30% from the previous year. Rate of teahouse growth per quarter is ~5%.
Analysis Article • Dec 01

Why We're Not Concerned About Chagee Holdings Limited's (NASDAQ:CHA) Share Price

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...
Analysis Article • Oct 16

A Look At The Fair Value Of Chagee Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:CHA)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Chagee Holdings is US$14.53 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
User avatar
New Narrative • Sep 30

Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth

Conservative valuation of $24.28 based on sustained revenues of ~RMB3bn/quarter. Potential upside if growth in store openings realises additional revenue.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 21

Chagee Holdings' IPO Offers A Compelling PEG Proposition

Summary Chagee Holdings' IPO surged over 15%, highlighting its rapid growth with 6,440 teahouses and strong sales, making it a compelling investment for China exposure. The company’s impressive growth includes a tenfold increase in teahouses and a significant rise in per-store sales, indicating a robust business model. Chagee's historical PEG ratio of 0.081 is exceptionally low, suggesting significant growth potential nearly unmatched in the consumer discretionary sector. Despite potential risks like market saturation and changing consumer tastes, Chagee's strong earnings and international expansion prospects make CHA stock a strong buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

CHAUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-2.1%-3.2%-1.6%
1Y-31.5%-10.8%12.1%

Return vs Industry: CHA underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -10.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CHA underperformed the US Market which returned 12.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CHA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CHA volatility
CHA Average Weekly Movement6.8%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement6.7%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: CHA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CHA's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20173,812Junjie Zhanginvestor.chagee.com

Chagee Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People’s Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States. The company sells freshly made tea drinks, related raw materials, packaging, teahouse equipment, and other supplies. It also engages in supply chain product sales; brand, marketing, and management; and information technology activities.

Chagee Holdings Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Chagee Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CHA fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.33b
Earnings (TTM)US$182.39m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.96b
12.7x
P/E Ratio
1.2x
P/S Ratio

Is CHA overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CHA income statement (TTM)
RevenueCN¥13.14b
Cost of RevenueCN¥7.73b
Gross ProfitCN¥5.41b
Other ExpensesCN¥4.19b
EarningsCN¥1.22b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)6.41
Gross Margin41.17%
Net Profit Margin9.31%
Debt/Equity Ratio2.2%

How did CHA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

7.1%
Current Dividend Yield
n/a
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/16 21:33
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/16 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Chagee Holdings Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sijie LinChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Siyang WangChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Jiwei LiuCitic Securities Co., Ltd.

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