Stock Analysis

Does Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ:CBRL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NasdaqGS:CBRL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBRL) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

What Is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at November 2024 Cracker Barrel Old Country Store had debt of US$527.0m, up from US$475.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$11.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$515.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CBRL Debt to Equity History December 27th 2024

A Look At Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store had liabilities of US$448.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.30b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$11.5m as well as receivables valued at US$39.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.70b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$1.21b, we think shareholders really should watch Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.2 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Worse, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's EBIT was down 43% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Cracker Barrel Old Country Store to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.