BJ's Restaurants Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
BJ's Restaurants has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 66.7%, while the Hospitality industry saw earnings growing at 37.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.8% per year. BJ's Restaurants's return on equity is 11.9%, and it has net margins of 3.1%.
Key information
66.72%
Earnings growth rate
67.71%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality Industry Growth | 19.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.81% |
| Return on equity | 11.91% |
| Net Margin | 3.15% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 05
Why BJ's Restaurants Might Surprise When It Matters Most (Earnings Preview)
Summary BJ's Restaurants remains a 'Buy' pre-earnings, offering double-digit upside and mid-single-digit buybacks. FY 2026 guidance calls for 1–3% same-store sales growth and EBITDA margins of 9.6–10.3%, well above historical averages. Capex compression in FY 2026 turns BJRI into a short-term cash cow, with $27–50 million FCF likely fueling buybacks. Valuation at ~8.6x EBITDA appears attractive, reflecting a shift from high growth to steady profitability and margin expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 24
BJRI: Traffic Driven Same Store Sales Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Narrative Update The analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants is trimmed slightly in this update, with a modest reduction in fair value to about $44.56 as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a marginally lower discount rate, and relatively stable profitability expectations following a mix of recent price target increases and a more recent cut. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BJ's Restaurants show a mix of optimism and caution around same store sales trends, unit growth plans, and how much of this is already reflected in the share price.Analysis Article • Apr 09
Here's Why We Think BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Is Well Worth Watching
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Narrative Update • Apr 09
BJRI: Traffic Driven Same Store Sales Will Support Future Earnings Momentum
The analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants has been trimmed slightly, as the updated fair value estimate shifts from about $45.22 to $44.78. This reflects analyst caution around muted valuation until there is clearer visibility on accelerating unit expansion, despite ongoing same store sales momentum and a modestly lower assumed future P/E of roughly 18.84x.Narrative Update • Mar 25
BJRI: Traffic Driven Same Store Sales Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged the consolidated price target for BJ's Restaurants higher into the mid $40s, reflecting incremental adjustments to the discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with recent research that highlights steady same store sales momentum but mixed views on valuation and unit growth visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but constructive picture for BJ's Restaurants, with price targets clustering in the high $30s to high $40s and ratings spread across Buy, Neutral, and Underweight.Narrative Update • Mar 08
BJRI: Same Store Sales Momentum Will Drive Measured Upside Potential Ahead
The analyst fair value estimate for BJ's Restaurants has increased to $45.22 from $38.88, reflecting a series of price target updates in the $38 to $49 range as analysts factor in steady same store sales momentum, recent Q4 results and guidance, and current expectations around future unit growth and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BJ's Restaurants center on how sustainable the current same store sales momentum may be, how quickly the company can resume meaningful unit expansion, and how these factors line up with valuation based on current P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Feb 22
BJRI: Higher Multiple Assumptions Will Temper Upside From Softer Sales Risks
The updated analyst price target framework for BJ's Restaurants moves fair value from $30.00 to $39.00, as analysts factor in revised assumptions for the discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with recent target hikes from $30.00 to $39.00 and then to $42.00 at major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BJ's Restaurants has centered on valuation discipline and sector level concerns, even as published price targets have moved higher into the low $40s.Analysis Article • Feb 13
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Popularity With Investors Is Clear
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may...
Narrative Update • Feb 08
BJRI: Price War Resilience And Margin Expansion Efforts Will Reshape Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their price targets on BJ's Restaurants to $39, up from prior levels of $30 and $32, citing updated 2026 group outlooks that factor in ongoing restaurant pricing competition with grocery and differing expectations for how casual dining and quick service chains may perform. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight that bullish analysts now see BJ's Restaurants as better aligned with their 2026 restaurant group playbook, even as they factor in ongoing pricing competition with grocery and mixed expectations across casual dining, fast casual, and quick service chains.Narrative Update • Jan 22
BJRI: New Leadership And Margin Expansion Efforts Will Reshape Earnings Power
Narrative Update The analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants has moved higher, with fair value shifting from US$50.00 to US$54.00. Analysts are factoring in updated 2026 group outlooks, sector level price target revisions and expectations for margin expansion supported by new leadership and potential sales catalysts.Analysis Article • Jan 07
BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Jan 05
BJRI: Softer Same Store Sales Will Likely Limit New Leadership Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their outlook on BJ's Restaurants, with recent Street research price targets now ranging from $38 to $44 per share. This reflects a balance between caution on near term same-store sales and optimism around new leadership, potential sales catalysts, and room for further margin improvement.Narrative Update • Dec 21
BJRI: Softer Same Store Sales Will Likely Undercut New Leadership Catalysts
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for BJ's Restaurants to $30 from $36 per share, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and valuation multiples, partly offset by improving margin outlooks and recent mixed Street commentary on sales trends and new leadership-driven catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on BJ's Restaurants reflects a mixed backdrop, with upside cases around new leadership and margin expansion set against more cautious views on near term sales performance and valuation risk.Analysis Article • Dec 13
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Narrative Update • Dec 07
BJRI: New Leadership And Margin Initiatives Will Drive Measured Upside Ahead
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on BJ's Restaurants to $38.88 from $38.88. This reflects slightly lower discount rate assumptions, a small improvement in projected profit margins, and a balanced read of recent Street research that highlights both new Buy initiation upside and tempered same-store-sales expectations.Analysis Article • Nov 27
At US$38.62, Is It Time To Put BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) On Your Watch List?
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BJRI ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise...Narrative Update • Nov 22
BJRI: New Leadership And Sales Catalysts Will Support Balanced Recovery Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for BJ's Restaurants from $38.14 to $38.88, citing improved risk and reward outlooks supported by new leadership, anticipated sales catalysts, and ongoing opportunities for margin expansion despite cautious industry trends. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BJ's Restaurants has highlighted factors influencing both the optimistic and more cautious perspectives on the company's outlook and valuation.Analysis Article • Nov 14
Estimating The Fair Value Of BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI)
Key Insights BJ's Restaurants' estimated fair value is US$32.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$37.20...Narrative Update • Nov 06
BJRI: Future Leadership And Margin Expansion Will Drive Measured Recovery
Analysts have reduced their price target for BJ's Restaurants to $38.14 from $38.83. This adjustment reflects mixed views on near-term sales trends and margin improvement opportunities.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analyst Commentary Highlights Mixed Outlook and Lower Price Targets for BJ's Restaurants
The average analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants has decreased from $42.33 to $38.83. Analysts cite softer industry sales trends and modestly lower growth and margins ahead of the next earnings report.Analysis Article • Sep 11
Is BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Aug 19
There May Be Some Bright Spots In BJ's Restaurants' (NASDAQ:BJRI) Earnings
NasdaqGS:BJRI 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore BJ's Restaurants's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysis Article • Jul 29
The Return Trends At BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Look Promising
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analysis Article • May 09
Market Participants Recognise BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Earnings Pushing Shares 30% Higher
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BJRI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Analysis Article • Apr 24
Does BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Mar 13
BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics...Seeking Alpha • Feb 21
BJ's Restaurants: Exceptional Execution In A Competitive Space
Summary BJ's Restaurants, Inc. reported a double-line beat, with revenues up 6.4% to $344.3 million and comparable sales rising 5.5%, driven by effective promotions and increased guest traffic. Efficiency initiatives led to a 100 basis point improvement in operating profit margin to 15.4%, and adjusted EBITDA surged 21.1% to $33.1 million. For 2025, management expects 2%-3% comparable sales growth, $205-$215 million in operating profit, and $127-$137 million in adjusted EBITDA, with significant share repurchases planned. Given the strong financial performance and positive future projections, any BJRI stock weakness should be considered a buying opportunity at current valuations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 11
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:BJRI ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.2x might make it look like a sell...Analysis Article • Dec 23
Is BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Nov 20
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI)
Key Insights The projected fair value for BJ's Restaurants is US$35.15 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity BJ's...Analysis Article • Nov 03
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Shareholders might have noticed that BJ's Restaurants, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BJRI ) filed its third-quarter result this time...Analysis Article • Oct 31
With EPS Growth And More, BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Seeking Alpha • Oct 06
BJ's Restaurants: Trying To Leverage The 'Pizookie Meal Deal', But It Might Be Too Late
Summary BJ's promotional mix failed to capture value-seeking guests, leading to declining traffic and comparable sales, unlike Chili's successful '3-for-Me' strategy. The late introduction of BJ's 'Pizookie Meal Deal' may not significantly boost traffic due to the competitive environment and guest inertia. Quantitative models suggest BJ's stock is fairly valued in the mid-$30s, with potential upside only if Q3 results exceed expectations. I recommend holding BJ's stock, considering its current valuation and the potential for better market opportunities elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 24
Innovative Service Models And Expansion Strategy Spur Growth For BJ's Restaurants
Implementing new service models and technological upgrades enhances guest satisfaction and repeat visits, positively affecting sales.Analysis Article • Sep 17
BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns
What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? Businesses in decline often have...Analysis Article • Aug 20
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) Shares Could Be 36% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, BJ's Restaurants fair value estimate is US$47.40 BJ's...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How BJ's Restaurants makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,409 | 44 | 90 | 0 |
| 30 Dec 25 | 1,399 | 49 | 90 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,388 | 31 | 87 | 0 |
| 01 Jul 25 | 1,384 | 28 | 87 | 0 |
| 01 Apr 25 | 1,368 | 22 | 86 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 1,357 | 17 | 87 | 0 |
| 01 Oct 24 | 1,337 | 30 | 89 | 0 |
| 02 Jul 24 | 1,330 | 29 | 87 | 0 |
| 02 Apr 24 | 1,329 | 24 | 88 | 0 |
| 02 Jan 24 | 1,333 | 20 | 85 | 0 |
| 03 Oct 23 | 1,354 | 16 | 84 | 0 |
| 04 Jul 23 | 1,346 | 18 | 82 | 0 |
| 04 Apr 23 | 1,326 | 6 | 79 | 0 |
| 03 Jan 23 | 1,284 | 4 | 77 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 22 | 1,231 | -5 | 75 | 0 |
| 28 Jun 22 | 1,202 | -5 | 73 | 0 |
| 29 Mar 22 | 1,162 | 1 | 73 | 0 |
| 28 Dec 21 | 1,087 | -4 | 69 | 0 |
| 28 Sep 21 | 993 | -17 | 65 | 0 |
| 29 Jun 21 | 909 | -21 | 62 | 0 |
| 30 Mar 21 | 747 | -57 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Dec 20 | 779 | -58 | 56 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 20 | 873 | -25 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 952 | -15 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,125 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,161 | 45 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Oct 19 | 1,151 | 41 | 64 | 0 |
| 02 Jul 19 | 1,142 | 46 | 64 | 0 |
| 02 Apr 19 | 1,129 | 49 | 64 | 0 |
| 01 Jan 19 | 1,117 | 51 | 63 | 0 |
| 02 Oct 18 | 1,098 | 64 | 62 | 0 |
| 03 Jul 18 | 1,074 | 57 | 61 | 0 |
| 03 Apr 18 | 1,052 | 50 | 59 | 0 |
| 02 Jan 18 | 1,032 | 45 | 59 | 0 |
| 03 Oct 17 | 1,036 | 34 | 61 | 0 |
| 04 Jul 17 | 1,023 | 39 | 62 | 0 |
| 04 Apr 17 | 1,007 | 43 | 62 | 0 |
| 03 Jan 17 | 993 | 46 | 62 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 16 | 961 | 44 | 60 | 0 |
| 28 Jun 16 | 956 | 49 | 61 | 0 |
| 29 Mar 16 | 938 | 47 | 61 | 0 |
| 29 Dec 15 | 920 | 45 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 15 | 900 | 43 | 60 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 877 | 37 | 58 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: BJRI has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: BJRI's current net profit margins (3.1%) are higher than last year (1.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: BJRI has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 66.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: BJRI's earnings growth over the past year (98.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (66.7% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: BJRI earnings growth over the past year (98.1%) exceeded the Hospitality industry 18.5%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: BJRI's Return on Equity (11.9%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 09:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Todd Brooks | Benchmark Company |