BJ's Restaurants, Inc.

NasdaqGS:BJRI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$786.3m

BJ's Restaurants Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

BJ's Restaurants is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.2% and 3.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.8% in 3 years.

Key information

5.2%

Earnings growth rate

9.00%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth17.5%
Revenue growth rate3.6%
Future return on equity13.77%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

BJRI: Traffic Driven Same Store Sales Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Narrative Update The analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants is trimmed slightly in this update, with a modest reduction in fair value to about $44.56 as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a marginally lower discount rate, and relatively stable profitability expectations following a mix of recent price target increases and a more recent cut. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BJ's Restaurants show a mix of optimism and caution around same store sales trends, unit growth plans, and how much of this is already reflected in the share price.

Here's Why We Think BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Is Well Worth Watching

Apr 09
Here's Why We Think BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Is Well Worth Watching

BJRI: Traffic Driven Same Store Sales Will Support Future Earnings Momentum

The analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants has been trimmed slightly, as the updated fair value estimate shifts from about $45.22 to $44.78. This reflects analyst caution around muted valuation until there is clearer visibility on accelerating unit expansion, despite ongoing same store sales momentum and a modestly lower assumed future P/E of roughly 18.84x.

BJRI: Traffic Driven Same Store Sales Will Support Further Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged the consolidated price target for BJ's Restaurants higher into the mid $40s, reflecting incremental adjustments to the discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with recent research that highlights steady same store sales momentum but mixed views on valuation and unit growth visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but constructive picture for BJ's Restaurants, with price targets clustering in the high $30s to high $40s and ratings spread across Buy, Neutral, and Underweight.

BJRI: Same Store Sales Momentum Will Drive Measured Upside Potential Ahead

The analyst fair value estimate for BJ's Restaurants has increased to $45.22 from $38.88, reflecting a series of price target updates in the $38 to $49 range as analysts factor in steady same store sales momentum, recent Q4 results and guidance, and current expectations around future unit growth and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BJ's Restaurants center on how sustainable the current same store sales momentum may be, how quickly the company can resume meaningful unit expansion, and how these factors line up with valuation based on current P/E assumptions.

BJ's Restaurants Keeps Getting Tastier

Feb 26

BJRI: Higher Multiple Assumptions Will Temper Upside From Softer Sales Risks

The updated analyst price target framework for BJ's Restaurants moves fair value from $30.00 to $39.00, as analysts factor in revised assumptions for the discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with recent target hikes from $30.00 to $39.00 and then to $42.00 at major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BJ's Restaurants has centered on valuation discipline and sector level concerns, even as published price targets have moved higher into the low $40s.

BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Feb 13
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

BJRI: Price War Resilience And Margin Expansion Efforts Will Reshape Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted their price targets on BJ's Restaurants to $39, up from prior levels of $30 and $32, citing updated 2026 group outlooks that factor in ongoing restaurant pricing competition with grocery and differing expectations for how casual dining and quick service chains may perform. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight that bullish analysts now see BJ's Restaurants as better aligned with their 2026 restaurant group playbook, even as they factor in ongoing pricing competition with grocery and mixed expectations across casual dining, fast casual, and quick service chains.

BJRI: New Leadership And Margin Expansion Efforts Will Reshape Earnings Power

Narrative Update The analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants has moved higher, with fair value shifting from US$50.00 to US$54.00. Analysts are factoring in updated 2026 group outlooks, sector level price target revisions and expectations for margin expansion supported by new leadership and potential sales catalysts.

BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Jan 07
BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

BJRI: Softer Same Store Sales Will Likely Limit New Leadership Upside

Analysts have modestly adjusted their outlook on BJ's Restaurants, with recent Street research price targets now ranging from $38 to $44 per share. This reflects a balance between caution on near term same-store sales and optimism around new leadership, potential sales catalysts, and room for further margin improvement.

BJRI: Softer Same Store Sales Will Likely Undercut New Leadership Catalysts

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for BJ's Restaurants to $30 from $36 per share, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and valuation multiples, partly offset by improving margin outlooks and recent mixed Street commentary on sales trends and new leadership-driven catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on BJ's Restaurants reflects a mixed backdrop, with upside cases around new leadership and margin expansion set against more cautious views on near term sales performance and valuation risk.

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI)

Dec 13
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI)

BJRI: New Leadership And Margin Initiatives Will Drive Measured Upside Ahead

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on BJ's Restaurants to $38.88 from $38.88. This reflects slightly lower discount rate assumptions, a small improvement in projected profit margins, and a balanced read of recent Street research that highlights both new Buy initiation upside and tempered same-store-sales expectations.

At US$38.62, Is It Time To Put BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) On Your Watch List?

Nov 27
At US$38.62, Is It Time To Put BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) On Your Watch List?

BJRI: New Leadership And Sales Catalysts Will Support Balanced Recovery Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for BJ's Restaurants from $38.14 to $38.88, citing improved risk and reward outlooks supported by new leadership, anticipated sales catalysts, and ongoing opportunities for margin expansion despite cautious industry trends. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BJ's Restaurants has highlighted factors influencing both the optimistic and more cautious perspectives on the company's outlook and valuation.

Estimating The Fair Value Of BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI)

Nov 14
Estimating The Fair Value Of BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI)

BJRI: Future Leadership And Margin Expansion Will Drive Measured Recovery

Analysts have reduced their price target for BJ's Restaurants to $38.14 from $38.83. This adjustment reflects mixed views on near-term sales trends and margin improvement opportunities.

Analyst Commentary Highlights Mixed Outlook and Lower Price Targets for BJ's Restaurants

The average analyst price target for BJ's Restaurants has decreased from $42.33 to $38.83. Analysts cite softer industry sales trends and modestly lower growth and margins ahead of the next earnings report.

Is BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Using Too Much Debt?

Sep 11
Is BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Using Too Much Debt?

There May Be Some Bright Spots In BJ's Restaurants' (NASDAQ:BJRI) Earnings

Aug 19
There May Be Some Bright Spots In BJ's Restaurants' (NASDAQ:BJRI) Earnings

The Return Trends At BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Look Promising

Jul 29
The Return Trends At BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Look Promising

Market Participants Recognise BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Earnings Pushing Shares 30% Higher

May 09
Market Participants Recognise BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Earnings Pushing Shares 30% Higher

Does BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Apr 24
Does BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Mar 13
BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

BJ's Restaurants: Exceptional Execution In A Competitive Space

Feb 21

BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Jan 11
BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BJRI) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Is BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Using Too Much Debt?

Dec 23
Is BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Using Too Much Debt?

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI)

Nov 20
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI)

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Nov 03
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

With EPS Growth And More, BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Makes An Interesting Case

Oct 31
With EPS Growth And More, BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Makes An Interesting Case

BJ's Restaurants: Trying To Leverage The 'Pizookie Meal Deal', But It Might Be Too Late

Oct 06
User avatar

Innovative Service Models And Expansion Strategy Spur Growth For BJ's Restaurants

Implementing new service models and technological upgrades enhances guest satisfaction and repeat visits, positively affecting sales.

BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

Sep 17
BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) Shares Could Be 36% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Aug 20
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) Shares Could Be 36% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

BJ's Restaurants: Everyone Expected More From Q2, Everyone Runs Away In Q3 (Rating Downgrade)

Jul 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:BJRI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,59457N/AN/A2
12/31/20271,489546316010
12/31/20261,435495214110
12/30/20251,3994941111N/A
9/30/20251,3883149124N/A
7/1/20251,3842853126N/A
4/1/20251,368221284N/A
12/31/20241,3571725101N/A
10/1/20241,3373024102N/A
7/2/20241,3302919107N/A
4/2/20241,32924296N/A
1/2/20241,333207106N/A
10/3/20231,35416-1991N/A
7/4/20231,34618-3863N/A
4/4/20231,3266-1182N/A
1/3/20231,2844-2751N/A
9/27/20221,231-5-1652N/A
6/28/20221,202-5-1841N/A
3/29/20221,1621351N/A
12/28/20211,087-42264N/A
9/28/2021993-171451N/A
6/29/2021909-214779N/A
3/30/2021747-572054N/A
12/29/2020779-58-341N/A
9/29/2020873-252675N/A
6/30/2020952-15-266N/A
3/31/20201,125281495N/A
12/31/20191,1614534116N/A
10/1/20191,15141N/A116N/A
7/2/20191,14246N/A125N/A
4/2/20191,12949N/A129N/A
1/1/20191,11751N/A133N/A
10/2/20181,09864N/A133N/A
7/3/20181,07457N/A128N/A
4/3/20181,05250N/A111N/A
1/2/20181,03245N/A107N/A
10/3/20171,03634N/A99N/A
7/4/20171,02339N/A119N/A
4/4/20171,00743N/A113N/A
1/3/201799346N/A138N/A
9/27/201696144N/A136N/A
6/28/201695649N/A142N/A
3/29/201693847N/A143N/A
12/29/201592045N/A127N/A
9/29/201590043N/A125N/A
6/30/201587737N/A107N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BJRI's forecast earnings growth (5.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: BJRI's earnings (5.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BJRI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BJRI's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BJRI's revenue (3.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BJRI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 11:46
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Todd BrooksBenchmark Company