Stock Analysis

Did Delta Apparel's (NYSEMKT:DLA) Share Price Deserve to Gain 46%?

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NYSEAM:DLA
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When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Delta Apparel, Inc. (NYSEMKT:DLA) share price is up 46% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 35% in the last year.

See our latest analysis for Delta Apparel

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Delta Apparel's earnings per share are down 27% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years. The impact of extraordinary items on earnings, in the last year, partially explain the diversion.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

It is not great to see that revenue has dropped by 1.9% per year over five years. So it seems one might have to take closer look at earnings and revenue trends to see how they might influence the share price.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AMEX:DLA Earnings and Revenue Growth December 31st 2020

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

Investors in Delta Apparel had a tough year, with a total loss of 35%, against a market gain of about 24%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Delta Apparel (2 are a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.

Delta Apparel is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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What are the risks and opportunities for Delta Apparel?

Delta Apparel, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sources, and markets activewear and lifestyle apparel products in the United States and internationally.

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Rewards

  • Price-To-Earnings ratio (4.1x) is below the US market (15.4x)

Risks

  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow

  • Does not have a meaningful market cap ($81M)

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Share Price

Market Cap

1Y Return

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