Taylor Morrison Home Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Taylor Morrison Home has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 5.7%, while the Consumer Durables industry saw earnings declining at 0.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 3.2% per year. Taylor Morrison Home's return on equity is 10.9%, and it has net margins of 8.8%.
Key information
5.75%
Earnings growth rate
10.49%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables Industry Growth | 24.52% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.23% |
| Return on equity | 10.85% |
| Net Margin | 8.77% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 07
TMHC: Berkshire Takeout Terms And Earnings Execution Will Shape Future P E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home to about $66.43 from roughly $70.22. Recent research leans on the agreed $72.50 per share Berkshire Hathaway offer, with multiple firms shifting to neutral stances and focusing on deal terms rather than long term fundamentals.Seeking Alpha • Jun 02
Taylor Morrison Home Finds A Home At Berkshire Hathaway
Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation agreed to an all-cash buyout by Berkshire Hathaway at $72.50/share, a 23.9% premium. TMHC's valuation is fair given current housing market headwinds, but long-term upside may be sacrificed for immediate liquidity. I downgrade TMHC to 'hold' as the buyout premium leaves minimal remaining upside; the spread to deal price is only 1.2%. Berkshire Hathaway strengthens its building products segment, leveraging synergies and long-term housing demand despite current industry pressures. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 13
TMHC: Long Term Closing Run Rate Progress Will Support Future P/E Multiple
Analyst fair value for Taylor Morrison Home has been nudged higher to $70.22 from $70.11, as recent price target revisions, including both increases and cuts across several firms, point to mixed views on growth, profitability and the appropriate P/E multiple for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Taylor Morrison Home highlights a split view on where the stock should trade, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them or lowering ratings.Narrative Update • Apr 25
TMHC: Long Term Closing Run Rate Aims And Buybacks Will Shape Future Multiple
Analysts have trimmed the consolidated price target for Taylor Morrison Home to about $70.11 from roughly $70.67. This reflects slightly lower fair value estimates and modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, even as several recent target increases have occurred alongside a downgrade and target cuts from other firms.Narrative Update • Apr 10
TMHC: Long Term Closing Run Rate Ambitions Will Support Multiple Re Rating
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Taylor Morrison Home, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $73.63 to roughly $70.67 as they factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly softer revenue assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small improvement in expected profit margin. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Taylor Morrison Home shows a mix of optimism around the company’s long term plans and caution around nearer term earnings risk and valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 28
TMHC: Buyer Mix And Margin Resilience Will Support Re Rating Potential
Analysts have raised their average price target on Taylor Morrison Home by $6. They suggest the stock's previous valuation discount may be overly severe, even as they continue to highlight ongoing risks related to earnings and housing affordability.Narrative Update • Feb 14
TMHC: Fair Value View Balances EPS Risk And Peer Discount Potential
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Taylor Morrison Home to about $73.63. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins, and a higher future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights both EPS risk and an unwarranted valuation discount versus peers.Analysis Article • Feb 01
The Return Trends At Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE:TMHC) Look Promising
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
New Narrative • Jan 25
Cautious Land Investment And Rental Expansion Will Constrain Margins Yet Keep Outlook Balanced
Catalysts About Taylor Morrison Home Taylor Morrison Home is a U.S. homebuilder focused on entry level, move up and resort lifestyle buyers, along with single family rental communities through its Yardly platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 06
TMHC: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Earnings Power And Capital Returns
Analysts kept their price target for Taylor Morrison Home steady at US$73.00, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly higher future P/E multiple to reflect their current view of the stock’s risk and earnings profile. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Taylor Morrison Home repurchased 1,277,533 shares for US$83.03 million, representing 1.29% of its shares.Analysis Article • Jan 02
Are Investors Undervaluing Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) By 22%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Taylor Morrison Home is US$75.92 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Narrative Update • Dec 22
TMHC: Share Repurchases Will Support Earnings Power Amid Modest Margin Pressure
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Taylor Morrison Home by 1.7 percent, from 74.25 dollars to 73.00 dollars, citing slightly higher discount rates, marginally lower profit margin expectations, and a modestly reduced future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Taylor Morrison Home completed a share repurchase tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, buying back 1,277,533 shares, or about 1.29 percent of its outstanding stock, for 83.03 million dollars (Key Developments) Under the buyback program announced on October 23, 2024, the company has now repurchased a total of 6,473,036 shares, representing roughly 6.39 percent of its share base, for an aggregate 399.01 million dollars (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate, reduced slightly from 74.25 dollars to 73.00 dollars, reflecting a modestly lower projected intrinsic value per share.Narrative Update • Dec 08
TMHC: Sector Tailwinds Will Support Earnings Power Despite Limited Fed Cut Impact
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home to $74.25 from $73.63, citing updated price targets that reflect supportive sector dynamics, despite expectations that the recent Fed rate cut will not materially alter near term housing market trends. Analyst Commentary Analyst commentary on Taylor Morrison Home reflects a broadly constructive stance on the company’s execution and earnings outlook, even as the macro backdrop for housing remains largely unchanged following the recent Fed rate cut.Narrative Update • Nov 24
TMHC: Recent Fed Cut Will Maintain Resilient Sector Performance Through Year End
Narrative Update on Taylor Morrison Home Analysts have raised their price target for Taylor Morrison Home by $3 to $75. They cite updated homebuilder sector valuations and expectations that recent changes in interest rates are unlikely to significantly shift the near-term housing market outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 07
TMHC: Recent Fed Rate Cut Will Support Near-Term Housing Demand
Narrative Update on Taylor Morrison Home Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home from $74.63 to $73.63. This change reflects updated views on market growth and profit expectations following recent industry assessments.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analysts Adjust Taylor Morrison Home Outlook Amid Modest Valuation Decline and Buyback Activity
Analysts have modestly lowered their fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home to $74.63 from $76. This change is based on updated price targets and expectations that recent interest rate changes will have limited impact on the housing market's trajectory.Analysis Article • Oct 02
An Intrinsic Calculation For Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Taylor Morrison Home fair value estimate is US$119 Current...Analysis Article • Sep 07
The Return Trends At Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE:TMHC) Look Promising
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Order Declines And Discounting Will Erode Future Performance
Despite a significantly lower consensus revenue growth forecast and a notable rise in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Taylor Morrison Home has increased from $72.52 to $76.00. What's in the News Repurchased 1,729,436 shares (1.72%) for $110.07 million from April 1 to June 30, 2025.Analysis Article • Aug 24
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC)?
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation ( NYSE:TMHC ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of...Analysis Article • Jul 20
Insufficient Growth At Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) Hampers Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x Taylor Morrison Home Corporation ( NYSE:TMHC ) may be sending very...Analysis Article • Jun 19
These 4 Measures Indicate That Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE:TMHC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
Taylor Morrison Home: Buying This Dip Makes Sense
Summary Recent months have not been kind to Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, even as the company continues to grow and trade on the cheap. The firm has seen strong financial performance with revenue up 16.7%, net income rising from $172.6M to $242.5M, and significant operating cash flow improvements. Concerns include a drop in backlog homes, rising cancellation rates, and potential labor shortages, but net new orders and share buybacks indicate confidence. Shares are attractively priced, making Taylor Morrison Home Corporation a compelling opportunity, despite market uncertainties and potential economic challenges. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 01
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation: Despite Weaknesses, Picture For The Business Is Bullish
Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation has seen significant stock appreciation despite mediocre financial performance, driven by undervaluation and a growing backlog of home orders. Revenue, profits, and cash flows have declined due to high interest rates impacting home prices, but the company remains attractively priced compared to peers. Improved cancellation rates and a potential future cut in interest rates could boost housing demand and home prices, supporting a continued 'buy' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 28
Sustaining Growth In Shifting Housing Markets
Diversified consumer and geographic strategies, and a commitment to affordable financing options, are set to stabilize demand and enhance revenue.Seeking Alpha • May 26
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation: After Rising Through The Roof, Shares Offer Additional Upside
Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation shares have outperformed the broader market, up 26.3% since August 2023 and 101.6% since January 2022. Despite mixed financial performance, shares of Taylor Morrison still appear attractive on an absolute and relative basis. Positive indicators, such as net new orders and lower cancellation rates, suggest that demand for homes is increasing, benefiting the company and its investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Taylor Morrison Home makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 7,613 | 668 | 707 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 8,121 | 783 | 735 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 8,378 | 851 | 745 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 8,403 | 901 | 763 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 8,364 | 907 | 777 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 8,168 | 883 | 770 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 7,832 | 813 | 754 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 7,386 | 733 | 723 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 7,456 | 768 | 710 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 7,418 | 769 | 699 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 7,890 | 872 | 684 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 8,249 | 1,011 | 663 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 8,184 | 1,067 | 645 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 8,225 | 1,053 | 643 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 8,238 | 1,050 | 656 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 8,062 | 909 | 676 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 7,787 | 742 | 678 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 7,501 | 663 | 668 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 6,553 | 485 | 626 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 6,394 | 431 | 605 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 6,201 | 373 | 583 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 6,129 | 243 | 572 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 6,038 | 204 | 572 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 5,444 | 156 | 544 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 5,183 | 172 | 523 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 4,762 | 255 | 490 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 4,753 | 210 | 471 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 4,685 | 236 | 452 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 4,400 | 213 | 427 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 4,227 | 206 | 417 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 4,069 | 219 | 399 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,941 | 159 | 393 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,869 | 126 | 389 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,885 | 91 | 390 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 3,783 | 88 | 384 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 3,728 | 70 | 378 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 3,674 | 56 | 373 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 3,550 | 53 | 362 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 3,323 | 51 | 343 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 3,266 | 48 | 334 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 3,113 | 42 | 314 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 2,977 | 45 | 294 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 3,018 | 53 | 285 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 2,851 | 54 | 267 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TMHC has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TMHC's current net profit margins (8.8%) are lower than last year (10.8%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TMHC's earnings have grown by 5.7% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TMHC's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: TMHC had negative earnings growth (-26.3%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Consumer Durables industry average (-16.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: TMHC's Return on Equity (10.9%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/09 07:48 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation is covered by 19 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |